TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,671
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,089

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,671 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c4,530$2,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.554,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over49c4,043$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9804440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under58c2,500$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.8683444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c2,129$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.763,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b29…556ebacked Over43c2,014$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.6160%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over44c1,875$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82517731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under56c1,444$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.2322246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c1,269$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.261,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under52c1,214$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.7245841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44011120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd32c…be8bbacked Over60c997.99$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over44c877.25$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.994645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under54c791.44$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.2557139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over46c641.3$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29512650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over50c638.32$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.161827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Over55c629.56$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.264454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over44c599.97$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.996756.7%38 W · 29 L+9.8wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c597.92$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9468450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.71955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004540%18 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38b8…f812backed Over43c462$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.265556.4%31 W · 24 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+38.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over44c450$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19812445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over44c397.67$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.973831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81b0…ad6dbacked Under16c393.94$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.91540%2 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick12cpaid+247.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under55c388.11$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.8299933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a35…2580backed Over42c342.22$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.734452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under55c336.51$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.432,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under55c301.25$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5675451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13213728.5%39 W · 98 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1689558.9%56 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under34c294$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.041855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c3…dde1backed Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over50c230$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1155944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebfd…cba6backed Over45c211$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.95944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under58c209.9$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4592345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over45c209.84$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.436861.8%42 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over28c182.82$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2940239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2490…aa08backed Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Under56c133.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.934454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8cb…3e3fbacked Over45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under56c112.36$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4440357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over45c108.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.032330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…af1bbacked Under56c108.21$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.614100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba78…273ebacked Over47c107.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over46c107.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4292254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7efd…caedbacked Over58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ad5…b130backed Over44c95.45$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-44.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over60c89.89$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5520253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2913347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over36c85.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9659655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under56c84.09$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3769750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb8…733ebacked Over44c84.09$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over44c79.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.21,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over46c79.46$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2216363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x2912…6817backed Over43c79.26$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over38c77.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1519258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over49c66.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6274457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5fe…1471backed Under34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.822236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d71…c404backed Under52c57.79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.793100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+97%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022157%126 W · 95 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Under56c53.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.413342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under50c51.92$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9621139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.520252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c49.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3548…0ebbbacked Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over44c44.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.398846.6%41 W · 47 L-11.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-25.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027055.2%149 W · 121 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc1…b855backed Under58c43.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.21275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdff8…4a23backed Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+44.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over69c36.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c26…c2d0backed Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6419…0f53backed Over44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under56c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bab…36a2backed Over45c26.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1250%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd243…56e5backed Under57c25.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.053354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Under50c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.557862.8%49 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over44c23.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.11345.9%2 W · 32 L-8.0wins-0.24per pick29cpaid-89.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under59c19.23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.885343.4%23 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under60c18.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.283762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.