TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd0c3…dde1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
157
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Serie A at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT4725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-46%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.44
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
France vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.85
France vs. Senegal: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.81
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$22.88
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$9.4
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+128.8%+$23.19
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$13.31
Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.18
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.08
Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.52
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.57
Will Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.31
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
Will Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.92
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.83
Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$133.29
Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.24
Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.68
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.4
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+352.3%+$398.07
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$33.89
Athletic Club vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$39.91
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+164.2%+$19.71
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+131.5%+$39.44
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$13.29
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.56
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+231.5%+$26.62
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.73
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.72
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$28
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$28.18
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$14
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2015%3 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.6
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.3
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11.33
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+231.2%+$420.76
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+444.7%+$62.25
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Will the US strike Iraq next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will the US strike Yemen next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$21.22
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$14.26
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.12
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.29
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.41
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.37
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$174.22
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$15.01
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$22.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$10.42
Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$100.9
Will Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$58.91
Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick44cpaid-74%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$10.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.