TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Athletic Club vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$244,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,387 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa800…bd7abacked Over52c57,798$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,797.75650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c15,871$8,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,566.214,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c10,485$5,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,469.478756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over48c8,740$4,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,544.795152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fb…8ea0backed Under52c7,841$4,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,077.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c7,299$3,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,591.43,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under48c7,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3605757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over53c6,628$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.072524%6 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-52.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c6,282$3,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,083.652,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under50c6,025$3,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,012.530446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over37c5,715$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,615.493438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x298a…adbbbacked Under52c5,577$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Over52c4,796$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,295.74025%10 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over47c4,200$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,22620054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under48c3,576$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.485757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c3,057$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.511,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44035054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5607349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under53c2,677$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.1711146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c2,608$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.771,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under48c2,550$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2246360.3%38 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under50c2,009$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under2c1,887$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.872416.7%4 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick6cpaid+202.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under52c1,828$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.7269142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over52c1,666$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.6712650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c1,579$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.9750149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under59c1,570$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.11425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under48c1,569$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.2528446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked Under1c1,455$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.554621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-46.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over50c1,176$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.0911651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Under2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1650%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4804254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13442.3%1 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-50.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48022552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under48c940$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.215250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under52c732.63$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.972948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c1e…fe89backed Under53c677.96$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.321233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b7…48d4backed Over49c674.22$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.857031.4%22 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over39c650$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.53262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over50c640$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3204946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under50c630.35$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.874334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3258042.5%34 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Under10c624.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.756512.3%8 W · 57 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over43c604.65$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.6512445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c583$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.8420159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9211444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c500.04$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.4342851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24027652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18022357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26011929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24031751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under50c457.19$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.61662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over49c420.04$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2211820.3%24 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19219750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under58c394.37$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.771,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Over68c375$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under49c360$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.412951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over40c359.22$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.538732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under48c350$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16821849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under48c350$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16814244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c337.71$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8613054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14429053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14418152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1444755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under50c282.79$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.92955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under48c280$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.416151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over51c278.22$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3322939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4115451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over71c255$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.343868.4%26 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12021051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15017128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12029053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under48c240$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.218853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Over50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under48c240$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.214950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under48c240$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.243255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under51c237.28$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+52.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over48c234.08$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.086750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d1…21c7backed Over65c233.09$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under48c219$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.124351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over79c218$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.783540%14 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under21c218$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7861657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under48c216$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6811853.4%63 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.85158.8%30 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Over51c206.25$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.061163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.084367.4%29 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d54…6c91backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9617648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9620652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9611952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967045.7%32 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.