TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa800…bd7a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
384
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
21

Best Category: Champions League, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 62 out of 100; worst World Politics at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT4831.3%15 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-47.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$277.51
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,403Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,402.89
Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$692.99
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,246.14
Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.26
Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,656Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,656
Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$904Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$903.78
Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.71
Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.44
Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.13
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,058.5
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,811Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,811.16
Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$527.99
Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$496.88
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$509.03
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$259.14
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+114.5%+$1,272.35
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+93.6%+$1,039.84
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+260%+$650.08
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$2,200
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT4456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,951Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$5,277.63
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,039.48
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$5,000
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,502Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,502
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,650
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,847Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$5,044.84
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,512Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,511.98
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,910Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,910
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,150.13
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,319Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$2,436.71
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$1,350.33
Nets vs. Kings: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,464Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$3,328.53
Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$960
Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,366Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,366
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$923.08
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,467Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$3,179.14
Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,216.98
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,255Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,888.43
Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+85.2%+$217.22
Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,511Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,511
Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+89%+$889.72
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST3844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+53.9%+$167.49
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$555
Big Game: 'Deja Vu' Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+40.8%+$34
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$3,843.14
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$697.18
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$111
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,111
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,111
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$4,000
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$4,000
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,921.57
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$7,614Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+127.3%+$9,690.55
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+212.5%+$10,625
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$7,486Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$7,485.63
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$8,043Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$9,442.24
Saints vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,250
Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+92.4%+$3,695.38
Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$2,081.63
Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$2,444.44
Chiefs vs. Raiders: O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$4,273.9
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Giants vs. Raiders: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,854Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+112.8%+$4,346
Seahawks vs. Panthers: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15,715Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$11,034.18
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27,432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27,432
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,864Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,863.56
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$6,350
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$3,438.82
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$3,600
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$9,252Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$5,670.74
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12,960
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,875Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,874.99
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,000
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$614.43
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,294.52
Nico Williams: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$499
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$880
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20,251Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13,500.79
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13,688Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7,370.25
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,776Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$624
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$9,249Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$7,567.4
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,964Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,964.01
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11,665Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,665
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,000
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,602Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,602.24
Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,479.71
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,425
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,871Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$3,674.61
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,216.32
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,700
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,222
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$1,017.76
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,216.98
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$5,222
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$124
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+132.6%+$338.02
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+109.4%+$547.03
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+104.1%+$208.16
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,280.99
Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,111
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$148.77
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,250
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2763%17 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+33.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Champions League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,572Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$5,828
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$3,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,111
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,733Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,733
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$1,285.51
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$9,718Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$8,617.85
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,111
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$710.31
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$2,812.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,412.65
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,665Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$3,383.08
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$2,703.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,662Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$5,227.37
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$4,526.32
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,111
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,735Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$4,033.52
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+129.6%+$1,440.07
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$625.85
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+119.8%+$2,396.14
Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+105.4%+$5,271.56
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,977Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,977.16
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,203Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$2,386.33
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,288.35
Will Real Madrid or Atlético de Madrid advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Atlético Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$558.04
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.25
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,616Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,616
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,037.32
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,209.83
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,551Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,551
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$372.27
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,799Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$993.81
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+163.2%+$416.05
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$555
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$111
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$500
LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$111
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+54.6%+$654.6
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+58.8%+$235.26
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.2%+$73.71
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+64%+$320.01
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-73.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.96
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,721Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$734.78
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,914Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,914
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+50%+$27.48
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 10–20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,555
Will Keir Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Keir Starmer say "McSweeney" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.07
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,478Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$4,478
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$254
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$111
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$511
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-49.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$934.23
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+153.7%+$697.92
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,616Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,615.53
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,222
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15,121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15,121.5
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+29.3%+$325.52
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+32.9%+$693.05
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$313.73
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$90.27
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$666
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$432.06
Israel military action against Iraq before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$332.47
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,525Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$1,276.73
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$332.14
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,111
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,062Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+29.8%+$1,803.86
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$111
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,995.61
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$222
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$222
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$722
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$55
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-53.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$432.06
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,333Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$1,704.59
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will The Traitors win Best Producer of Game & Competition TV at the 37th PGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+70.7%+$35.33
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$111
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17,607Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17,607
Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,206.13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,467.6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+121%+$3,818.35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$327.85
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$1,000.35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$605.01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$593.84
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,148.86
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Belal Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will Mateusz Gamrot fight Paddy Pimblett next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,428Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,428.35
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4,705.88
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Michael Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$3,249.78
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+180.5%+$613.54
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Chidi Njokuani vs. Carlos Leal (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Leal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+66.6%+$665.54
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$222
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+133.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-57.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+98.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+222.6%+$556.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$2,454.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chris Gober be the Republican Nominee for TX-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+55.5%+$13.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.6%+$629.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,511Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+27%+$408.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$381.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microchip Technology say "China" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$333
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,350
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.