Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf0b563216f50961fd5ed47c2a01dc26781d351a846ebc285c51e70a1f1eeccd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $719,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $628,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $719,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65a3…59a1backed No | 10c | 65,952$6,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,438.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…4f1bbacked No | 1c | 39,876$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…de80backed No | 4c | 31,393$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0485…5a7bbacked No | 8c | 30,552$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3847…df89backed No | 5c | 25,017$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb436…bb3cbacked Yes | 79c | 22,897$18,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750.21 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +10.5wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +42%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked No | 3c | 21,353$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.35 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 5c | 20,696$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.85 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed No | 2c | 18,919$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.37 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…0da7backed No | 2c | 15,447$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab4…b5a2backed No | 18c | 12,770$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 3c | 10,170$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.8 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9155…de7cbacked No | 23c | 10,032$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e3…e0fdbacked No | 2c | 9,597$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bb…9236backed No | 7c | 8,690$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x314a…9196backed No | 2c | 7,420$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745c…15fcbacked No | 4c | 7,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…ff45backed No | 8c | 6,932$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5033…2ea5backed No | 7c | 6,478$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30a…c817backed No | 6c | 6,331$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…4fb1backed No | 1c | 4,423$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed No | 5c | 4,205$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 2c | 4,170$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e0…6829backed No | 6c | 3,933$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 8c | 3,329$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.46 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked No | 6c | 3,322$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.75 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x862e…338dbacked No | 5c | 3,227$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…2bf8backed No | 1c | 2,913$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed No | 6c | 2,800$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.5 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 4c | 2,745$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 122 | 7.4%9 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 2,622$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.69 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f55…c139backed No | 4c | 2,567$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed No | 33c | 2,490$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…690dbacked No | 1c | 2,400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2825…c0e3backed No | 34c | 2,356$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…d0a4backed No | 9c | 2,346$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 9c | 2,345$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 3c | 2,314$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 79c | 2,296$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.92 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…d68bbacked No | 2c | 2,263$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed No | 1c | 2,257$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedcd…f7cfbacked No | 2c | 2,237$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c7…9c96backed No | 23c | 2,218$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…7018backed No | 8c | 2,179$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…1a14backed No | 10c | 2,168$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9ea5backed No | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…cb10backed No | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f17…0f54backed No | 6c | 1,984$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed No | 8c | 1,925$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f1…bdc6backed Yes | 70c | 1,818$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.14 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3f…ec32backed No | 1c | 1,726$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,676$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.59 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 1,639$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d02…6255backed No | 1c | 1,585$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…7a93backed No | 10c | 1,534$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1563…4ba3backed No | 6c | 1,430$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…2739backed No | 4c | 1,398$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b2…0223backed No | 1c | 1,332$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd29e…e912backed No | 4c | 1,292$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7a80backed No | 7c | 1,284$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…0e82backed No | 4c | 1,221$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed No | 7c | 1,201$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…c1b0backed No | 16c | 1,190$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,187$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.64 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251c…8c5bbacked No | 8c | 1,184$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6214…20d1backed No | 8c | 1,175$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 5c | 1,174$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 94 | 3.2%3 W · 91 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 2c | 1,140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x251f…6e56backed No | 8c | 1,133$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0499…7066backed No | 1c | 1,122$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e36…e5ccbacked No | 3c | 1,091$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…6573backed No | 2c | 1,062$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…61fabacked No | 5c | 1,042$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1acd…c664backed No | 11c | 1,040$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb14b…f271backed No | 8c | 1,039$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…e527backed No | 6c | 1,038$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e4…9cedbacked No | 6c | 1,036$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4013backed No | 7c | 1,030$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a2…25e7backed No | 5c | 1,022$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7b…645ebacked No | 5c | 1,001$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed No | 4c | 1,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…8f58backed No | 8c | 1,000$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…ad49backed No | 7c | 1,000$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed No | 80c | 1,000$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 76c | 999.98$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 44c | 988.91$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.76 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…2cbcbacked No | 5c | 970.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…06f8backed No | 5c | 970$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…f27ebacked No | 1c | 964$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…2d2cbacked No | 78c | 957.13$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…d6f0backed No | 4c | 950.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1821…df61backed No | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…e476backed No | 5c | 937.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…f05fbacked No | 4c | 934.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bb42backed No | 5c | 918.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fce…f0ffbacked No | 5c | 910.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcd…9a7bbacked No | 4c | 902.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b85…6225backed No | 3c | 900$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc717…d0d7backed No | 1c | 887.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…8d7bbacked No | 28c | 878.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?this page
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.