TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x745c…15fc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.92
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$219.36
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.6
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+45%+$72.03
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+131%+$67.96
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+32.8%+$98.38
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$27.09
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+203%+$406.06
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+35.6%+$18.74
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$32
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick71cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$153.09
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+39%+$136.34
Pacers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$98.91
Mavericks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$87.69
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$97.29
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$65.26
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$762Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+59.8%+$455.66
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$204.23
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+25%+$50
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+37%+$96.08
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,586Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$591.6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,347Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$393.84
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.19
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,062Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$298.91
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,462Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$844.94
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+135.9%+$380.45
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$374.1
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+27.1%+$96
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,491Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+136.9%+$2,040.89
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+195.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+123.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+138.6%+$630.22
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+113.3%+$351.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$501.54
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+163.2%+$124.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,072Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37%+$396.62
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latviabacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+119.8%+$729.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$933Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$450.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+39.4%+$133.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+38.5%+$77.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$4,117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,117.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$210
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs alohasquad (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Group Abacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$234.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.