Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde3a4db21570844b8f3d77113022830e95377472b572e798ae1420f4d3abc3b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,370,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,300,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,370,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes | 37c | 31,483$11,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,758.3 | 457 | 15.1%69 W · 388 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x513f…33afbacked No | 0c | 30,390$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7579…94c6backed No | 46c | 25,559$11,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,864.54 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 39c | 21,690$8,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,179.44 | 550 | 22.5%124 W · 426 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 58c | 20,047$11,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,511.01 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…558bbacked No | 13c | 20,000$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.97 | 181 | 23.8%43 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 35c | 19,752$6,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,823.03 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Yes | 43c | 17,145$7,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,849.62 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 69c | 16,579$11,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,185.22 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…779ebacked Yes | 44c | 12,077$5,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,815.63 | 225 | 9.8%22 W · 203 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 24c | 9,176$2,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,972.54 | 2,576 | 13.2%339 W · 2,237 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…0d6abacked Yes | 74c | 8,355$6,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.52 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 53c | 8,201$4,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,820.21 | 285 | 26.7%76 W · 209 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 53c | 7,832$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,682.29 | 584 | 22.1%129 W · 455 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 53c | 7,563$4,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538.76 | 469 | 21.3%100 W · 369 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 56c | 7,366$4,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,088.76 | 574 | 29.6%170 W · 404 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Yes | 23c | 7,321$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,643.59 | 380 | 10%38 W · 342 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 66c | 7,148$4,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.81 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…2423backed Yes | 44c | 6,939$3,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,913.69 | 176 | 28.4%50 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes | 27c | 6,905$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,037.28 | 426 | 10.6%45 W · 381 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes | 53c | 6,841$3,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,191.3 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 62c | 6,710$4,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.97 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…0b74backed Yes | 17c | 6,584$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,443.21 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 21c | 6,299$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,967.25 | 894 | 17.1%153 W · 741 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Yes | 47c | 6,212$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,297.55 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes | 5c | 6,200$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,882.22 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bae…ae53backed Yes | 25c | 6,147$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,596.17 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 19c | 6,123$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,943.49 | 894 | 18.7%167 W · 727 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…6f7abacked No | 60c | 6,008$3,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,618.83 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…9145backed Yes | 55c | 6,000$3,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,712 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae01…0689backed Yes | 60c | 6,000$3,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 43c | 5,661$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,223.95 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459c…7ebcbacked Yes | 32c | 5,457$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,737.18 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…bedebacked No | 33c | 5,405$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.32 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…8ff9backed Yes | 68c | 5,190$3,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.07 | 160 | 28.1%45 W · 115 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…af26backed Yes | 29c | 5,140$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,626.35 | 138 | 17.4%24 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…ac16backed Yes | 33c | 4,615$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.27 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7354…430fbacked No | 44c | 4,577$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.12 | 188 | 77.1%145 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…5614backed Yes | 3c | 4,500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,365 | 173 | 10.4%18 W · 155 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…4375backed Yes | 49c | 4,436$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.18 | 259 | 13.5%35 W · 224 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…1af9backed Yes | 54c | 4,398$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.9 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 45c | 4,393$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.87 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Yes | 70c | 4,253$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.65 | 212 | 13.2%28 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…5204backed Yes | 25c | 4,242$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,162.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 26c | 4,086$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033.6 | 1,041 | 11%115 W · 926 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 30c | 4,000$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790.08 | 628 | 12.3%77 W · 551 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 51c | 3,976$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.1 | 547 | 22.9%125 W · 422 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…a942backed Yes | 56c | 3,963$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.36 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe46…8b21backed Yes | 11c | 3,823$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,390.15 | 218 | 16.1%35 W · 183 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4142…57f3backed Yes | 61c | 3,800$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…af3ebacked Yes | 32c | 3,775$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.24 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes | 30c | 3,736$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.84 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d49…9601backed Yes | 53c | 3,627$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.81 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…30d5backed Yes | 73c | 3,552$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcf…1555backed Yes | 39c | 3,547$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed No | 48c | 3,545$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.53 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked No | 29c | 3,500$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.46 | 167 | 26.9%45 W · 122 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f6…db6fbacked Yes | 37c | 3,438$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.37 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 28c | 3,385$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.87 | 590 | 20.8%123 W · 467 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 33c | 3,360$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.84 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b6…9ff5backed Yes | 53c | 3,069$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.61 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…66c7backed Yes | 32c | 3,055$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.27 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…8733backed Yes | 23c | 3,000$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316 | 582 | 8.1%47 W · 535 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274c…4824backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes | 27c | 2,824$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.37 | 300 | 27.3%82 W · 218 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4a…4896backed No | 35c | 2,749$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.61 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…c167backed Yes | 47c | 2,716$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.19 | 177 | 23.2%41 W · 136 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe144…487fbacked Yes | 19c | 2,693$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.03 | 104 | 21.2%22 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf328…2b78backed Yes | 69c | 2,651$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.14 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fc…229ebacked Yes | 28c | 2,512$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.99 | 135 | 11.9%16 W · 119 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 68c | 2,462$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.55 | 550 | 75.1%413 W · 137 L | +34.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee54…c2dfbacked Yes | 69c | 2,458$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 19c | 2,422$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.22 | 1,799 | 7.4%133 W · 1,666 L | -24.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes | 58c | 2,307$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.24 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 33c | 2,284$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.77 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9476…28bcbacked Yes | 57c | 2,239$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.2 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…d6fdbacked No | 29c | 2,220$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.27 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc73…d73abacked Yes | 33c | 2,206$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.23 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e9…1a46backed Yes | 27c | 2,201$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.14 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…bf4dbacked Yes | 29c | 2,120$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.62 | 100 | 15%15 W · 85 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb6…19bebacked Yes | 22c | 2,117$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.34 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…310dbacked Yes | 30c | 2,102$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.67 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e2…77e1backed Yes | 29c | 2,100$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.88 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…e977backed Yes | 22c | 2,091$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.62 | 590 | 9.2%54 W · 536 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…2917backed Yes | 41c | 2,080$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.14 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 22c | 2,051$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.59 | 456 | 11.6%53 W · 403 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 53c | 2,045$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.97 | 127 | 15%19 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a5…6760backed Yes | 32c | 2,030$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.27 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5864…76b9backed Yes | 16c | 2,027$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.33 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 19c | 2,019$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.32 | 468 | 37.4%175 W · 293 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…e6d7backed Yes | 45c | 2,015$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.17 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 480 | 6.9%33 W · 447 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes | 26c | 2,000$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.17 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…a37fbacked No | 76c | 1,969$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.58 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 45c | 1,953$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.73 | 489 | 19.4%95 W · 394 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…60aabacked Yes | 47c | 1,917$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.63 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde03…e629backed Yes | 42c | 1,910$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.78 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…a915backed Yes | 34c | 1,898$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.67 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes | 26c | 1,890$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.42 | 164 | 17.1%28 W · 136 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…c64dbacked No | 34c | 1,875$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.92 | 151 | 64.9%98 W · 53 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.