Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfacf9a60fe10565f008dab626ee0d7893f2253b7e8cca31e54caee6808016027

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $391,821
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $128,824

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,821 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	3c	18,233$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.04	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61bc…7cbfbacked Yes	0c	12,318$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.79	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcded…b1ecbacked Yes	0c	9,335$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.62	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	8,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	3c	7,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	9c	6,700$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.33	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	5,659$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.3	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	7c	4,500$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	4,000$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.1	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	10c	4,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	2c	3,200$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	3,131$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.63	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	3c	3,122$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.19	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	5c	2,802$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.7	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	3c	2,787$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.9	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	4c	2,719$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.38	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	3c	2,500$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	2,455$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.8	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	2c	2,329$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.87	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	11c	2,200$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.03	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	2,131$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	2,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d3…8e8fbacked Yes	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	131	16.8%22 W · 109 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+57.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	1,999$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.96	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2969…661fbacked Yes	12c	1,735$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	1c	1,691$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes	6c	1,670$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.2	89	18%16 W · 73 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x336f…820abacked Yes	1c	1,670$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	2c	1,570$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.01	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	2c	1,523$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.37	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	3c	1,249$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.21	126	14.3%18 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	4c	1,220$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.6	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x37bd…afd5backed Yes	4c	1,132$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	69	17.4%12 W · 57 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	8c	1,041$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.31	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes	10c	1,040$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…a201backed Yes	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa932…79a6backed Yes	3c	1,000$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	71	2.8%2 W · 69 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	99	11.1%11 W · 88 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf22f…7714backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	12%6 W · 44 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+79.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	3c	1,000$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e7e…61c0backed Yes	12c	999.99$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	97	10.3%10 W · 87 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	10c	999.95$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	1c	967.6$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.86	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	1c	947.01$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bae…ae53backed Yes	11c	909.98$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.1	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	6c	850$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	3c	838.72$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7dc…b33dbacked Yes	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f26…1f12backed Yes	4c	800$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	135	17%23 W · 112 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Yes	6c	799.99$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	113	13.3%15 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x966e…2ad5backed Yes	3c	700$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-85.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e85…e9babacked Yes	7c	670.99$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.51	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	6c	631.17$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46b4…72e9backed Yes	12c	625$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	10c	565.33$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.53	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	4c	536.11$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.6	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd6…3df6backed Yes	3c	500$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.05	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e39…dfd9backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	29	3.4%1 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-68%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0617…3070backed Yes	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	152	12.5%19 W · 133 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bc…96c0backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	104	4.8%5 W · 99 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+55.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5dc…dec3backed Yes	3c	445.22$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	92	32.6%30 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce01…7acabacked Yes	12c	420$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e83…30dabacked Yes	12c	417$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.04	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b67…0ea8backed Yes	8c	414.57$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.17	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	3c	400$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	176	5.1%9 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fdc…2e26backed Yes	3c	400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x653f…c386backed Yes	7c	400$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76b…e02abacked Yes	8c	399.98$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	108	6.5%7 W · 101 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	10c	385$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28c1…8cd5backed Yes	11c	363.64$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	4c	350$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4ea…34dfbacked Yes	12c	315.08$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.81	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28db…1f83backed Yes	3c	312.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	4c	312.12$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes	5c	310$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.18	334	15.6%52 W · 282 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc14f…0ee1backed Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	160	13.8%22 W · 138 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d3…aedbbacked Yes	4c	300$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	81	16%13 W · 68 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d0f…bea9backed Yes	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+64.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	11c	299.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6933…0f16backed Yes	7c	279.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	475	10.5%50 W · 425 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df6…a12ebacked Yes	12c	266.67$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-70.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	12c	250.17$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.02	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb34…2b09backed Yes	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa43a…1475backed Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49a5…a67cbacked Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	76	10.5%8 W · 68 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c9c…da44backed Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ba7…8ca5backed Yes	10c	197.38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.74	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x890b…2737backed Yes	8c	165.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.28	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e9…dad7backed Yes	7c	144$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8af9…b599backed Yes	10c	140$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb79…6274backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c10…8ea5backed Yes	12c	118.85$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.26	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d0…c191backed Yes	12c	116.67$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…c182backed Yes	12c	116.67$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event