TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe008…f7d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
477
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Weather at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT25617.2%44 W · 212 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 256 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+191.5%+$45.48
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.73
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.52
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.44
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$72.99
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.6
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Showing 25 of 256 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT13423.1%31 W · 103 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 134 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+196.2%+$26.22
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.84
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.8
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$3.26
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.79
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+190.2%+$39.11
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+487.9%+$60.35
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or below on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$23.64
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$14.38
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$2.88
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Showing 25 of 134 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.25
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+408.9%+$80.96
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$14.5
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$18.27
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.59
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.39
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35.7
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$122.52
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$26.09
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$30.82
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$17.51
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$337.64
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+185.7%+$35.06
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30.47
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$599.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$10.61
National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
National Bank Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsenbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.96
Rome: Nuria Brancaccio vs Eva Vedderbacked Nuria Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Croatia Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.28
Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Trevor Svajdabacked Trevor Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
Croatia Open: Marko Topo vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$38.38
Granby: Justin Boulais vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Justin Boulais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$23.9
Kitzbuehel: Julia Avdeeva vs Gina Feistelbacked Julia Avdeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.15
Detroit Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.64
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$9.93
All 10 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
Senators vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27.33
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+49%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+589.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+589.4%+$241.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+430.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+430.5%+$211.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$5.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.