TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

IF Brommapojkarna vs. IK Sirius: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,338
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,689

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,338 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under33c231.31$76 inLost-$76.339135.2%32 W · 59 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over67c224.1$150 inWon+$73.952391.3%21 W · 2 L+8.9wins+0.39per pick52cpaid+79.4%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over68c160$109 inWon+$51.212750.4%64 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over78c156.56$123 inWon+$33.711,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under30c148.89$45 inLost-$44.727,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x474a…a275backed Over77c129.87$100 inWon+$29.871030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-48%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under23c127.99$29 inLost-$28.912,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under21c73.56$15 inLost-$15.4587745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under34c45.45$15 inLost-$15.452,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26cd…2c85backed Over78c38.94$30 inWon+$8.572138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-33.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Over66c30.3$20 inWon+$10.3785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74cb…1688backed Over68c17.21$12 inWon+$5.581060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+35.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.