TailMyPicks
Market

Other European Leagues · resolved market

IF Brommapojkarna vs. IK Sirius: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,148
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,148 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c1,034$363 inLost-$362.527,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over45c476.19$214 inWon+$262.2773440.1%294 W · 440 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c367.49$202 inLost-$202.122,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under57c181.09$103 inLost-$103.372,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8354…528dbacked Over40c125$50 inWon+$751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd003…8341backed Over40c125$50 inWon+$751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Under11c100.51$11 inLost-$11.0650%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over73c93.71$68 inWon+$25.757577.3%58 W · 17 L+12.7wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+33.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under27c77.3$21 inLost-$20.675,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x474a…a275backed Over42c70.69$30 inWon+$40.691030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-48%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over44c56.82$25 inWon+$31.8210817.6%19 W · 89 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over44c54.09$24 inWon+$30.291,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over29c51.72$15 inWon+$36.7211841.5%49 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under62c48.39$30 inLost-$306432.8%21 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Under41c37.43$15 inLost-$15.234827.1%13 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Over56c30$17 inWon+$13.2785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under56c30$17 inLost-$16.826051.5%134 W · 126 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under67c27.46$18 inLost-$18.392,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x704b…08b7backed Under45c26.63$12 inLost-$11.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over71c20$14 inWon+$5.83345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.