TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe9ef…b630

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 62 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT5236.5%19 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+51.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,399.4
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$151.9
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.55
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$817.38
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$994Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$993.75
France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+334.6%+$106.25
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$991.14
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+203%+$876.83
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$989.88
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$554
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.44
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.59
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,086.61
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$896.43
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+300%+$172.37
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.97
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.4
England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$56.38
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.96
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$297.05
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.4
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.59
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$220.68
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.19
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT4533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.82
Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.7
Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$457.3
New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$357.84
New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 175.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$225.46
Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 183.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.47
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 184.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.47
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 188.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$113.12
Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$385.73
New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$607.29
PortlandFire vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 175.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.33
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.37
Team Spoon vs. Team Coop: O/U 279.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$1,818.77
Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.41
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 172.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.14
Chicago Sky vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.65
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 176.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.59
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.74
New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempobacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.76
Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,213.64
New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 178.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$106.92
Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$160.83
PortlandFire vs. Atlanta Dreambacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$225.31
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$96
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT2615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.7
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,435.6
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$977.3
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.47
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.71
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$968Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$967.51
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.97
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$977.3
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.32
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$977.3
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$74.82
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.32
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.64
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+900%+$3,160.38
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.24
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.44
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.13
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$1,781.82
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.36
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.92
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.61
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.66
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+59.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Pyunik FA vs. Debreceni VSC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.7
Spread: FC Lugano (-1.5)backed KF Dukagjini Klinë · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.51
Will Pyunik FA win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.21
Spread: Pyunik FA (-1.5)backed Marsaxlokk FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$200
HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$879.08
Spread: PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5)backed Derry City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$3,898.27
Alashkert FA vs. Elimai FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.12
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.32
Spread: FK Mornar Bar (-1.5)backed Atlétic Club d'Escaldes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.65
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.