TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Sweden: France O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$257,468
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$292,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,468 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under25c82,254$20,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,960.374,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over77c37,813$29,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,717.0623942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over76c20,397$15,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,975.672,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under34c9,832$3,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,312.84,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under23c8,642$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.52,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under26c8,624$2,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2323,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over76c8,458$6,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.098,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over74c7,987$5,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.782,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Over77c6,013$4,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.0614351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under3c5,900$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.252,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under30c5,838$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,751.393,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over79c5,299$4,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.861,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc408…7f32backed Over60c4,731$2,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.194459.1%26 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under24c4,669$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.572,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over79c4,600$3,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.134,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Over77c4,521$3,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.878156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under23c4,265$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.0995037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over72c4,170$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.0430465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over79c4,000$3,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.7328337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under28c3,609$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.262,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over75c3,380$2,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.662,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Under24c3,122$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.217533.3%25 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63020234.2%69 W · 133 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under25c2,460$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.682,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Over65c2,171$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.788858%51 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77f4…148cbacked Over63c2,082$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.181283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+55.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.4915650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over62c1,591$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.417560%45 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.7435244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed Under24c1,301$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.223236.6%85 W · 147 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under20c1,278$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.591,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd8f…761dbacked Over57c1,216$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.795648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under24c1,175$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.743,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x426d…6885backed Over76c1,124$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.717844.9%35 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Over78c1,079$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.336965.2%45 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over75c1,000$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25518465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23040343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Under23c999.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23010026%26 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Over62c970.27$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.2713447.8%64 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under24c737.46$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.861,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Under12c716.34$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.965236.5%19 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+51.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over72c683.06$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.021,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Under24c671.16$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.088943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Over80c650$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1303571.4%25 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc23d…dbbcbacked Over76c644.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.82867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Over64c610$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.614440.3%58 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Under40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.999821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under24c577.26$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.061,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under24c554.93$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.351,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under24c504.24$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5642332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94b1…5cedbacked Over59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2053764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eb5…0499backed Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Over59c499.99$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2058240.2%33 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over77c499.99$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11797742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under25c499.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b6…7efcbacked Over77c493.2$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.442326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-47.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0938…a9a8backed Under23c484.35$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.851435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b9e…cb21backed Over76c419.99$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.83363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over77c415.58$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5835848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a1…dd34backed Over74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.415267.3%35 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9216655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1161,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf369…8283backed Over75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10025937.5%97 W · 162 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over76c399.98$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9610562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Over77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.615066%33 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Over75c332.49$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1217045.9%78 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b01…00fabacked Under24c325.42$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.11758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over75c323.03$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.522,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over75c316$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over75c316$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.181,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over78c316$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2387237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f3…3b59backed Over78c314.91$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5415456.5%87 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under24c314.45$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.322,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over79c307$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.41,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6367354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over76c276$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.991,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bec…d26abacked Over74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2712533.6%42 W · 83 L-0.4wins0.00per pick34cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over77c270.27$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1565036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e0…43b9backed Over75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.677460.8%45 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f1…dc7cbacked Over75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6718441.8%77 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ad7…ef63backed Over77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.742450%12 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over76c256$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8773536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa62a…0fbcbacked Over80c248.34$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.67862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over67c238.81$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.814273.8%31 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over58c215.26$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.311,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under24c214.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.43,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over77c206.44$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under24c200$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015052%78 W · 72 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over67c200$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6711560%69 W · 46 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over58c199.99$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8411846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d61…f6febacked Over76c199.98$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.993754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44e9…ec97backed Over78c197.44$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.444953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7557…2a24backed Over76c197.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.373545.7%16 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over76c188.83$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.391,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8490…3243backed Over75c177.75$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.443568.6%24 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf6…adafbacked Over80c175$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.