France vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92bfb95fc52fa725ae2bca303d75f3e5f9e2d33bafdbe8b5c10918df2f24c70d

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $262,140
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $278,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,140 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7d08…eda0backed Under	0c	28,136$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.68	88	35.2%31 W · 57 L	+8.6wins	+0.10per pick	25cpaid	+136.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Under	3c	19,397$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.3	427	10.3%44 W · 383 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under	7c	15,580$1,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,082.9	176	42%74 W · 102 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	5c	9,218$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.41	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebf…51cabacked Under	7c	5,973$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.97	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	26cpaid	+181.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under	3c	5,736$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.43	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	4c	5,270$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.45	306	26.5%81 W · 225 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	3c	4,863$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.54	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Under	3c	4,644$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.5	175	6.9%12 W · 163 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+112.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under	1c	4,444$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.44	213	14.1%30 W · 183 L	+14.3wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+135.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ed…3363backed Under	3c	4,088$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.82	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under	4c	3,978$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	4c	3,714$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.64	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	6c	3,521$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.08	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	6c	3,332$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under	4c	3,150$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.05	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under	6c	3,111$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.11	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed Under	1c	2,984$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.84	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a92…dc69backed Under	9c	2,393$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.76	80	32.5%26 W · 54 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under	6c	2,024$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.05	265	34%90 W · 175 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d18…c84dbacked Under	3c	2,010$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.78	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Under	4c	1,976$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	122	24.6%30 W · 92 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under	5c	1,885$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.24	441	30.8%136 W · 305 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	6c	1,829$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.16	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Under	4c	1,794$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.4	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba3…9a44backed Under	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+3.1wins	+0.14per pick	4cpaid	+547.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	1c	1,471$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.71	199	46.7%93 W · 106 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under	1c	1,454$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.54	186	28.5%53 W · 133 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Under	1c	1,354$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.54	114	12.3%14 W · 100 L	+10.2wins	+0.09per pick	3cpaid	+348.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Under	1c	1,250$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	341	25.8%88 W · 253 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under	1c	1,200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	64	6.3%4 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x655a…8fadbacked Under	4c	1,199$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.78	107	15%16 W · 91 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	6c	1,066$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.63	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ff…7803backed Under	3c	1,031$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	94	44.7%42 W · 52 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ec…aa22backed Under	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	52	3.8%2 W · 50 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd4a…bd1abacked Under	3c	999.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9f…f04abacked Under	5c	857.77$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.89	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.24per pick	42cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Under	6c	845.51$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.73	254	45.3%115 W · 139 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Under	5c	760.09$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa425…a8bbbacked Under	3c	757.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under	4c	730.19$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.38	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	3c	727.94$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.25	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5e7…15dabacked Under	3c	625$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f0c…ba73backed Under	3c	625$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	102	24.5%25 W · 77 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Under	4c	603.21$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.2	177	35%62 W · 115 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	4c	576.63$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.18	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	5c	535.85$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.63	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under	3c	499.96$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	197	23.4%46 W · 151 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0459…0fcbbacked Under	4c	462.3$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	267	20.6%55 W · 212 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2c09…b9b3backed Under	6c	447.37$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.84	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under	4c	425.05$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.54	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Under	6c	324$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.74	53	34%18 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under	3c	312.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	233	53.2%124 W · 109 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Under	3c	312.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	470	29.1%137 W · 333 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7f…d60fbacked Under	3c	312.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	12cpaid	+147.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccad…46ecbacked Under	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under	5c	291.24$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.82	357	19.6%70 W · 287 L	-13.8wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c7b…bd59backed Under	6c	270$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.95	221	47.1%104 W · 117 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfa3…5ddebacked Under	6c	200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a3…6599backed Under	9c	174.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	117	51.3%60 W · 57 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under	9c	140$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.16	246	26%64 W · 182 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

France vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5this page
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
France vs. Sweden: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Team to AdvanceFrance won
France vs. Sweden: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
France vs. Sweden: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: France (-1.5)France won
Spread: France (-2.5)France won
Spread: France (-3.5)Sweden won
Spread: France (-4.5)Sweden won
Spread: France (-5.5)Sweden won
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)France won
Spread: Sweden (-2.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

France vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event