TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,004 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Over4c7,199$255 inLost-$254.884,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Over6c4,730$274 inLost-$274.112825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over5c4,211$229 inLost-$229.23,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over2c3,464$53 inLost-$52.731,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over3c2,913$82 inLost-$81.558,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over5c2,727$129 inLost-$129.434,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over5c2,323$116 inLost-$116.172,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over5c1,685$84 inLost-$84.241,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over2c1,277$24 inLost-$24.381,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Over2c1,062$17 inLost-$16.613616.7%6 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over5c1,035$50 inLost-$5037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over5c1,000$50 inLost-$5046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over5c929$46 inLost-$46.2865737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over4c849.68$32 inLost-$31.942,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over5c520.77$26 inLost-$26.041,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over5c480.77$25 inLost-$2543819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b9…b6ccbacked Over5c370.37$20 inLost-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over5c334.78$17 inLost-$17.391,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb02…0f88backed Over4c287$11 inLost-$11.48224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Over5c269.9$13 inLost-$13.2124843.1%107 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac36…b1e1backed Over5c200$10 inLost-$10.23735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.