Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa46d4a5782aad822fcbeb2a1d06ceabbaf862f46903d1a42b2bf9c6aff0ad897
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…1a19backed Yes | 22c | 9,090$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 78c | 7,000$5,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.99 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked No | 79c | 6,710$5,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.09 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 4,962$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…467abacked Yes | 9c | 3,600$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.72 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…ed53backed Yes | 22c | 3,048$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.47 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3224…dc4dbacked No | 79c | 1,621$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.39 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 78c | 1,360$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.16 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 24c | 1,124$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 1,029$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.49 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 15c | 915.73$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.14 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 22c | 869$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.11 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 76c | 528.36$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.46 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 22c | 500$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 15c | 499.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 15c | 499.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 78c | 404.05$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 390.3$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 16c | 337.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 13c | 310$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…b000backed Yes | 22c | 309.09$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 79c | 265.82$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 78c | 245.03$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 8c | 238.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…2515backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 9c | 222.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…132fbacked Yes | 22c | 207.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 221 | 35.3%78 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 78c | 192$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…34bfbacked Yes | 10c | 189.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…ab9abacked Yes | 22c | 184.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc361…7babbacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 22c | 113.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc977…56f1backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759b…9329backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee81…df6abacked Yes | 22c | 98.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…a275backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…ffefbacked No | 31c | 74.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 19cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…aaadbacked Yes | 21c | 73.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d3…5eacbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed No | 79c | 63.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 128 | 60.2%77 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 78c | 58.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dab…96c1backed Yes | 24c | 41.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…e6c9backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8635…003ebacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…4e13backed No | 79c | 25.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 78c | 21.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 78c | 15.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 78c | 13.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 161 | 57.8%93 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- France vs. Sweden: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Team to AdvanceFrance won
- France vs. Sweden: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- France vs. Sweden: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: France (-1.5)France won
- Spread: France (-2.5)France won
- Spread: France (-3.5)Sweden won
- Spread: France (-4.5)Sweden won
- Spread: France (-5.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Sweden (-1.5)France won
- Spread: Sweden (-2.5)France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.