TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,564
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$212,675

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,564 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under41c7,454$3,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3932,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under42c7,082$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,081.617163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under41c7,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.9531851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over57c6,329$3,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,605.912,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aaf…b21abacked Over20c5,635$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.033426.5%9 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Under42c5,555$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,221.8632029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked Under42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.998450%42 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over44c3,941$1,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.242,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over27c3,868$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.1516947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under43c3,408$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.736250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under41c3,041$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.312,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over14c2,964$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.954,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over27c2,920$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.52,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over36c2,583$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.948,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under57c2,502$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.2621937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d9…ecd7backed Under41c2,435$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.673423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under42c2,033$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.1416946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.9770648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742d…020dbacked Over59c1,887$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.183020%6 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over35c1,800$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.052,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under57c1,740$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74316357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over14c1,526$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5182537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under44c1,500$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.4816633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over56c1,434$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.144,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…24e8backed Under65c1,434$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.961457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under41c1,400$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.9833149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a28…8962backed Under72c1,394$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.8512139.7%48 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under43c1,250$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.343,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Under43c1,129$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.5813237.1%49 W · 83 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under43c1,024$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.671,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.7612862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under49c951.6$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.372,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under50c927.75$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.553,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under79c918.15$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.732,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under43c899.99$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5091,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over59c873.59$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.428652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under43c846$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.2270244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over58c844.02$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.371,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under46c801.39$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.7524950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Over53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42419750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over58c773.45$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.51,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c700.02$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.383,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4b…03d6backed Under44c682$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38212545.6%57 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under44c656.45$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.151,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a51…ce14backed Over40c622.61$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506940.6%28 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over29c599.11$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.462,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Under68c579.94$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.8712753.5%68 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under43c574.42$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.4222355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Under45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27518448.9%90 W · 94 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8b5…280cbacked Over27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1358135.8%29 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed Under46c437.23$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.191145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Over46c436.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd60…423abacked Under58c430$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.966053.3%32 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+55.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09d3…92b4backed Over59c423.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0d9…1187backed Over50c415.91$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2109962.6%62 W · 37 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Over58c408.99$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.851172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+34.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed Under42c404.76$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7615440.3%62 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6f7…610abacked Over58c400.34$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.26434.4%22 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba31…836dbacked Over14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over15c333.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8821…17cabacked Over44c331.86$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.02633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over33c320.01$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.131,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over34c313$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.081,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72a3…785fbacked Over16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020049.5%99 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked Over25c306$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.524540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over34c300.75$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.873536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17752455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb748…dbddbacked Over12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over33c296.76$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.191,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9943…a5e9backed Under68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.124656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over20c293$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.151,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x79f5…552dbacked Under43c292.07$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4836627.3%100 W · 266 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under56c281$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.8130626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6087…61e8backed Under64c274.26$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.118627.9%24 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Over56c271.71$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.1661752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over57c257.8$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1542853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd841…64cabacked Over61c246.07$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508461.9%52 W · 32 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27f4…7763backed Under41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.910749.5%53 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over59c242.55$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2742332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under42c241.88$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.291,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76ca…e170backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015455.8%86 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over59c225$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7543145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x330a…0e45backed Over9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010838%41 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x490b…8760backed Over40c220$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under41c216.3$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.621,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0cb…ac14backed Over14c213.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305022%11 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-42.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb172…7862backed Over12c209.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.227837.8%105 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under43c209.98$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.493,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47b7…4d82backed Over24c206.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.59425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under42c204.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.891,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11820841.3%86 W · 122 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…216bbacked Over53c200$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054564.4%29 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed Over23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465916.9%10 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac36…b1e1backed Over59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1183735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d13…f6cbbacked Under60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802737%10 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1c6…d2d6backed Under51c191.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.734553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Over53c189$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1713251.5%68 W · 64 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over8c187.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6953629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Over56c182.79$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6124843.1%107 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c182.7$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.84,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.