TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$761,626
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$798,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $761,626 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f12…8140backed Over27c109,783$29,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,349.514025%10 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under77c71,797$55,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,530.164,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over12c64,365$7,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,696.111,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under80c55,795$44,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,373.3766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over22c47,592$10,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,626.61,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over26c22,387$5,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,828.112,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over16c19,604$3,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,171.63,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over27c15,803$4,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,327.7249441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over27c15,222$4,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,108.961,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under73c13,193$9,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,562.2377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4bb…4645backed Over26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over23c9,578$2,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,241.988,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under78c7,711$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.7323353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under74c6,700$4,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under73c6,640$4,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.832,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under76c6,619$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.865948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under77c6,474$4,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.9611149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Over18c5,729$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.22837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe821…3128backed Under74c5,554$4,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.115658.9%33 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over16c5,190$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.131,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under73c5,122$3,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.9711443%49 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over24c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20017748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under73c4,447$3,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.5736031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under74c4,119$3,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.691,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under73c3,873$2,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.431,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Over9c3,711$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.012828.6%8 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over14c3,592$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.3451514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under80c3,531$2,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.574,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under74c3,129$2,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.331,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09a3…2349backed Under75c2,917$2,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.334440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Over27c2,538$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.867259.7%43 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under73c2,500$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67531152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over26c2,500$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over17c2,499$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.231,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under74c2,408$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.2422029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under68c2,322$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.930054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over20c2,032$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.812,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under79c2,009$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.713,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Under76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48024732.4%80 W · 167 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Over10c1,999$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9233235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c5…22d8backed Under78c1,660$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.885967.8%40 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over4c1,630$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.67626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8706…f8ccbacked Over26c1,538$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005516.4%9 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+76%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over19c1,505$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.1443826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under76c1,385$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.1558942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e6f…31aebacked Over24c1,242$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007826.9%21 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Over2c1,200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick1cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf72c…f818backed Over18c1,200$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105335.8%19 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over21c1,178$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.895330.2%16 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over18c1,171$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.611,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Under74c1,108$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.1119957.3%114 W · 85 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over8c1,100$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8837451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Over31c1,032$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32017852.2%93 W · 85 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeebd…ba30backed Over12c1,021$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4916033.1%53 W · 107 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Over32c1,008$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32013352.6%70 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Under72c994.93$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.5824045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7c3f…0da3backed Over27c988.89$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-84.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over1c900$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0169826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Under73c900$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24311156.8%63 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under73c897.99$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.273,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over19c844.83$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.672,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under79c800$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17028164.1%180 W · 101 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under74c794.19$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4920955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under73c772.11$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.841,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d17…5297backed Over26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003821.1%8 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+96.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over24c761.11$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18133544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under73c709.59$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.031,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under75c700.01$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.0175335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Over15c700$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-43.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over26c686.16$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.447144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over27c644.44$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17422749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe995…5255backed Under73c611.64$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.6416030.6%49 W · 111 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Over26c557.57$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6852744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…fe6bbacked Over27c555.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507349.3%36 W · 37 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over25c516.73$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.285550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Under77c515.91$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6643139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Over27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13511531.3%36 W · 79 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10023440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over15c490.13$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5222135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ec…64c8backed Under75c486.99$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.753537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over14c480$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1810729%31 W · 76 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under74c454.81$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6442332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc8a…112bbacked Over26c450$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1178117.3%14 W · 67 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21eb…6dedbacked Under75c448.17$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.583161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under73c446.62$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.591,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over26c445$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.72,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Under74c444.33$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.793528.6%10 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under74c435.91$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9984844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under74c433.16$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4942853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over23c425.49$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8684751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4043819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cf…f719backed Under75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010367%69 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5669…0f13backed Under77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928140.7%33 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.