TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7ec…64c8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$163.12
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,216
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$505
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$422.87
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$211.71
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$967.91
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$525
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$263
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$755.24
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$756
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$441.32
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,153.26
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+46%+$176.12
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$339
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.45
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$58
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$382
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.91
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$163.03
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,401Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,462.52
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500.77
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,560
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,361Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,159.21
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,381Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,326.84
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$65.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$161.15
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,386Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$2,352.83
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,796Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,796.19
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavlbacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$51.3
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,607Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,607
Wimbledon ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$100.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$40.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,790Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,790
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.