MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x279cde2be3fc38cbbf7dc55c879ea340514ec3495f809e1d75296a1aaa926bea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Chicago Cubs, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 53,495$27,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,219.96 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 51,000$24,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,989.97 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 50,258$24,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,626.43 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 27,756$13,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,032.11 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 25,743$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 19,777$10,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,522.46 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 14,343$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.93 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 10,070$5,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,034.92 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 9,900$5,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,851 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 9,883$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,842.67 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Chicago Cubs | 0c | 8,200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 7,390$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,695.21 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 7,060$3,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,504.82 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…1c90backed Chicago Cubs | 18c | 6,914$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 56c | 6,126$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.15 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 5,600$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Chicago Cubs | 11c | 5,100$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.71 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 4,010$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.86 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 3,769$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.88 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 2c | 3,511$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chicago Cubs | 3c | 2,929$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 2,760$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.39 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 2,329$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.21 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chicago Cubs | 18c | 2,002$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.32 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Chicago Cubs | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago White Sox | 64c | 1,876$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.87 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 1,841$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.51 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago White Sox | 69c | 1,647$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.82 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,486$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.29 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,460$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…db18backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,319$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 1,275$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.59 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Chicago Cubs | 12c | 1,133$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 17c | 1,063$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.84 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 24c | 1,017$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.24 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago White Sox | 79c | 1,007$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.54 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Chicago White Sox | 59c | 1,006$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.47 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,005$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.55 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Chicago Cubs | 30c | 1,000$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf776…bd5cbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…f0b7backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 21c | 970$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.48 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Chicago Cubs | 2c | 950$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Chicago Cubs | 11c | 926.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Chicago Cubs | 11c | 922.48$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.73 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 871.43$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Chicago Cubs | 7c | 848.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Chicago Cubs | 14c | 798.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.53 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox | 71c | 787.58$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.63 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…4911backed Chicago Cubs | 19c | 684.51$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.65 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 634.3$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.6 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 632.76$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.38 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 631.73$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.47 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…0b92backed Chicago White Sox | 80c | 610$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 8c | 588.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 580.48$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.75 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 563.73$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.85 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed Chicago Cubs | 6c | 556.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Chicago Cubs | 7c | 528.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Chicago Cubs | 22c | 502.37$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.11 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Chicago Cubs | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Chicago White Sox | 64c | 497.25$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.01 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Chicago Cubs | 18c | 402.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 400.02$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.43 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1332…2b23backed Chicago Cubs | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 392$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.08 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Chicago White Sox | 71c | 389.15$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.82 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Chicago Cubs | 15c | 381.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 353.87$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.31 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Chicago Cubs | 31c | 347$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 312.94$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.47 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 308.38$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.81 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 299.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 297$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 261.55$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.39 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs | 11c | 259.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.