TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x363d…fe75

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
430
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst College Football at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT21242.5%90 W · 122 L-13.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 212 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.1
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.8
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.73
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$59.4
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$89.6
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+1,574.2%+$173.17
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.64
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.14
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.7
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.5
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.4
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.12
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.24
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.46
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.49
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$136.59
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.4
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.9
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.62
Showing 25 of 212 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT12245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 122 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$190
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.41
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.58
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.66
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.3
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-11.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.89
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51.59
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.1
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-9.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$26.77
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.2
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.33
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-3.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.73
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.41
Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-1.5)backed UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.78
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-1.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$41.18
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.49
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-3.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.25
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas A&M Aggiesbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.75
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.92
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.4
Auburn Tigers vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+132.9%+$65.88
Showing 25 of 122 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST4461.4%27 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+122.2%+$183.33
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+143.9%+$201.46
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$152.61
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$91.94
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$325
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Spread: Packers (-4.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$130
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+282.6%+$677.14
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$130
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+85.2%+$92
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+104.1%+$145.71
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$66.32
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+38.9%+$58.33
49ers vs. Brownsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+40.8%+$57.18
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+163.2%+$326.32
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+31.6%+$94.74
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
College Football — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$204.55
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$284.62
USC vs. TCUbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$728
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-7.5)backed UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+95.6%+$176.92
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Virginia Tech vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Boston College vs. Syracusebacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+78.6%+$55
Miami vs. Pittsburghbacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$185
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Washington State vs. James Madisonbacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Missouri vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+66.7%+$100
TCU vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+67.1%+$103.97
Texas A&M vs. Arkansasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+38.6%+$269.86
Duke vs. Californiabacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$367.88
Miami vs. Florida Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$367.74
Boston College vs. Pittsburghbacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+100%+$140
Spread: Suns (-9.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Spread: Suns (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+89.4%+$71.51
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-47.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+57.1%+$157.12
Canucks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$208
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Pump.fun airdrop in Q2 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+43.5%+$130.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon: Andreeva vs. Bencic (W) backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.