TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

Virginia Tech vs. Virginia

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virginiaof Virginia Tech, Virginia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,261
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,475

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,261 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e3a…4033backed Virginia78c32,247$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,246.5119362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Virginia Tech23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3003540%14 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Virginia Tech24c7,973$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.7893548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Virginia Tech22c6,856$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.6658850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Virginia Tech23c6,789$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.262,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Virginia Tech16c3,943$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.6686243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e8…2867backed Virginia Tech1c3,044$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Virginia Tech17c2,700$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.9417443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Virginia Tech24c2,251$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.3511248.2%54 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Virginia Tech26c2,047$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.2281847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04eb…36a7backed Virginia76c1,783$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.493360.6%20 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Virginia74c1,747$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.183056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Virginia Tech22c1,687$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.1448546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Virginia75c1,639$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.721348.8%104 W · 109 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Virginia Tech23c1,618$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.927642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Virginia Tech23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34513417.2%23 W · 111 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Virginia Tech25c1,257$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.3434529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Virginia Tech7c1,048$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9762843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Virginia75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Virginia Tech23c941.93$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6465945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Virginia Tech23c937.16$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.5549443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Virginia Tech25c892.56$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.1421055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Virginia Tech24c858.68$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.525629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Virginia75c836.25$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.7250358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Virginia75c809.08$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.2710851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Virginia Tech26c771.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013444%59 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Virginia Tech15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9026244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e76…2c4ebacked Virginia Tech26c576.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Virginia Tech17c569.56$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.240244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52dd…ed91backed Virginia Tech13c520$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.240%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d4…ad20backed Virginia Tech24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Virginia Tech24c489.22$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.161,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ac…ef52backed Virginia77c454.55$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.55966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+52%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Virginia Tech23c439.34$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6614752.4%77 W · 70 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Virginia Tech26c408.4$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1838450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ee…5cf0backed Virginia75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bbb…b176backed Virginia78c368.92$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.161464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Virginia76c328.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.951154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6583…53fdbacked Virginia75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba63…a30ebacked Virginia76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.16785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+56.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x718a…5d86backed Virginia77c259.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.372692.3%24 W · 2 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick73cpaid+26.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Virginia Tech18c257.11$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.286023.3%14 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Virginia74c205$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.356844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe30e…4eedbacked Virginia Tech6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125223.1%12 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cb4…f28cbacked Virginia Tech5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10120%0 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Virginia Tech24c199.59$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5428032.9%92 W · 188 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x51b8…1df6backed Virginia76c164.47$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.473452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Virginia Tech20c160.1$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5325819.8%51 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9827…e5ffbacked Virginia Tech25c152$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Virginia Tech24c140.57$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.746046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Virginia75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e47…c088backed Virginia75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc757…f18cbacked Virginia76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.586857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Virginia78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.213354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe286…6896backed Virginia Tech25c103.16$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.79683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick40cpaid+110.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb800…e43abacked Virginia Tech25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bbf…1395backed Virginia76c93.31$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Virginia76c88.85$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.255350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked Virginia75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2018868.1%128 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x686a…c769backed Virginia77c77.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.925867.2%39 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8485…3439backed Virginia Tech26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Virginia75c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7557144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed Virginia Tech24c72.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.742638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ebb…c067backed Virginia Tech23c69.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Virginia Tech21c64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4421644.9%97 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Virginia75c61.64$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.414872.9%35 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Virginia Tech22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.26338.1%24 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda53…9209backed Virginia78c55$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.12343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Virginia75c54$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.55064%32 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Virginia Tech26c53.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1429351.9%152 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72b7…e360backed Virginia Tech25c53.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.446065%39 W · 21 L+10.0wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x74e6…fcd9backed Virginia Tech26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Virginia Tech25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.511354.9%62 W · 51 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49e0…676fbacked Virginia75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Virginia Tech25c49.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.336241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb16…dee0backed Virginia Tech25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f4…d0f6backed Virginia76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.472080%16 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaec6…4968backed Virginia75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.336100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93f0…8b02backed Virginia75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.333574.3%26 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf90c…f49cbacked Virginia76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.322770.4%19 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa9…bad5backed Virginia75c25.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.264854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3778…8604backed Virginia79c23.41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.921353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec25…dec6backed Virginia75c22.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.671369.2%9 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick69cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9024…ce31backed Virginia76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.84100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aca…dfd3backed Virginia80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.754175.6%31 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b09…bdcdbacked Virginia80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.751883.3%15 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacb7…e2dbbacked Virginia80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.52572%18 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2d…24c8backed Virginia80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.54100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.