TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2cb4…f28c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT287.1%2 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-65.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.66
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advancebacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST248.3%2 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Wizards vs. Clippersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.62
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$71.02
Clippers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+900%+$90
76ers vs. Thunderbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.45
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Pacers vs. Pelicansbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Wizards vs. Spursbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Thunderbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.85
Mavericks vs. Thunderbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14.6
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.49
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Nets vs. Bucksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+112.8%+$16.91
All 24 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST210%0 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. William & Mary Tribebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Jackson State Tigers vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogsbacked Jackson State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Elon Phoenix vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Northwestern State Demons vs. Nicholls Colonelsbacked Northwestern State Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
West Virginia Tech Golden Bears vs. Marshall Thundering Herdbacked West Virginia Tech Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Harvard Crimson vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Harvard Crimson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Grambling State Tigers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bellarmine Knights vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Bellarmine Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Colgate Raiders vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Colgate Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Lipscomb Bisons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Northern Colorado Bears vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Northern Colorado Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.01
Marist Red Foxes vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsbacked Marist Red Foxes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Norfolk State Spartans vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Norfolk State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.62
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Kansas State Wildcatsbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Southern Wesleyan Warriors vs. Kennesaw State Owlsbacked Southern Wesleyan Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
North Florida Ospreys vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked North Florida Ospreys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Tarleton State Texans vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked Tarleton State Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Marshall Thundering Herdbacked Marshall Thundering Herd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11.76
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 21 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST120%0 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.7
James Madison vs. Oregonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Tulane vs. Ole Missbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14
UNLV Runnin' vs. Boise Statebacked UNLV Runnin' · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Troy vs. James Madisonbacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Notre Dame vs. Stanfordbacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
North Carolina vs. NC Statebacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15.21
UCLA vs. USCbacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Virginia Tech vs. Virginiabacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Oregon State vs. Washington Statebacked Oregon State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Cincinnati vs. TCUbacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick7cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick7cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+1,150%+$115
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+426.3%+$85.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.35
Will Getafe win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.9
Ducks vs. Capitalsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Juárez win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.