TailMyPicks
Market

Lol · resolved market

LoL: ZSM vs Oh My God (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oh My Godof ZSM, Oh My God
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,836 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6650…04febacked ZSM0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed ZSM31c8,552$2,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,651.0920557.1%117 W · 88 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ef…9257backed Oh My God71c8,440$6,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.47580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Oh My God71c6,109$4,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.2337245.2%168 W · 204 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed ZSM28c5,994$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.2231036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Oh My God69c5,184$3,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.1581443.5%354 W · 460 L+30.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed ZSM29c4,538$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.334942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed ZSM30c3,690$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.3542940.1%172 W · 257 L-32.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e0d…5d23backed Oh My God71c3,532$2,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.761861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked ZSM16c3,090$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.0485046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked ZSM18c3,028$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.6824529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0624…053fbacked ZSM9c3,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+86.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed ZSM6c3,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806936.2%25 W · 44 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ab…edaabacked ZSM10c2,051$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.53280%0 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Oh My God72c1,849$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.9913543%58 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2668…f995backed ZSM30c1,649$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd1b…af12backed Oh My God70c1,613$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8e…349fbacked Oh My God72c1,397$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.253256.3%18 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked ZSM17c1,395$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.1514338.5%55 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Oh My God77c1,297$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.562060%12 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed ZSM32c1,090$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked ZSM15c1,083$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.451,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked ZSM28c1,053$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30084840.8%346 W · 502 L-39.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed ZSM8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-55.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1329…0b4bbacked ZSM8c995.16$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.581711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+77%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x521f…3344backed Oh My God76c977.41$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.1512847.7%61 W · 67 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Oh My God62c811.74$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.4636334.4%125 W · 238 L-21.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked ZSM29c799.99$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22877131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed ZSM28c799.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22046033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed ZSM32c771.53$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.8919042.1%80 W · 110 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Oh My God69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.641275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked ZSM28c707.38$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9921536.7%79 W · 136 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed ZSM30c665.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7944335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Oh My God77c647.95$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2219371.5%138 W · 55 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Oh My God70c625.78$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.7342050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked ZSM8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6f…778fbacked Oh My God71c608.3$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.412373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed ZSM23c581.79$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.43,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked ZSM28c574.99$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16168049%333 W · 347 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Oh My God69c499.99$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15514852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oh My God67c490.33$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1641,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x888b…2d66backed Oh My God68c482.98$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.553100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f7c…5a30backed ZSM7c472.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3228942.6%123 W · 166 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf673…a9a3backed Oh My God70c444.67$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.792245.5%10 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-31.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ZSM30c443.82$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.152,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Oh My God71c407.17$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0831761.5%195 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked ZSM36c367.38$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8713259.1%78 W · 54 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ZSM33c350.59$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.622,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5791…a476backed ZSM29c307.56$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed ZSM32c299.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9927452.2%143 W · 131 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Oh My God66c299.28$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.772450%12 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa673…8937backed ZSM20c293.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed Oh My God78c285.49$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0810756.1%60 W · 47 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1da7…2e56backed Oh My God71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.697663.2%48 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1448…9b9cbacked Oh My God73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.974100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16e6…dc3dbacked Oh My God74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.27742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed ZSM29c263.43$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.439450.3%198 W · 196 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf012…1a19backed ZSM11c255.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2938534.8%134 W · 251 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5309…c6c7backed Oh My God72c255.18$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.914763.3%93 W · 54 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f78…d7c1backed ZSM8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked ZSM28c249.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.994852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed ZSM21c247.84$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3416934.3%58 W · 111 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a60…4c00backed Oh My God72c245.53$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.75683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cb4…f28cbacked ZSM8c237.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed ZSM34c237.26$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed ZSM31c229.03$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7110136.6%37 W · 64 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fb0…99a6backed Oh My God76c227.5$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked ZSM26c222.18$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575639.3%22 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed ZSM32c213.28$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686939.1%27 W · 42 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked ZSM27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5429536.9%109 W · 186 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c90…272cbacked ZSM26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524355.8%24 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+40.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Oh My God70c199.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605048%24 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1c1…928cbacked Oh My God72c180.56$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5615862.7%99 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d7a…abfabacked ZSM8c179.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.33333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1758…5d73backed ZSM28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e31…a728backed ZSM30c168.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed ZSM28c168.01$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.041936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Oh My God74c160.81$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4439451%201 W · 193 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed ZSM35c159$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.655152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe295…64ebbacked Oh My God69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931471.4%10 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick76cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked Oh My God69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9331435.7%112 W · 202 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bb9…1f8fbacked Oh My God70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x07ec…ba9fbacked Oh My God70c142.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.41922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd614…1753backed ZSM30c134$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.24032.5%13 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d33…3701backed Oh My God75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5899…032dbacked Oh My God73c124.14$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.525639.3%22 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed ZSM31c113.68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.241127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5017…4daebacked ZSM32c111.72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-73.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1b1…7d09backed Oh My God70c110$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332572%18 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed ZSM32c102.03$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6521943.8%96 W · 123 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a05…4c5abacked Oh My God76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2419367.9%131 W · 62 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xba9e…47bdbacked ZSM19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19537.5%4 W · 49 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-58.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed ZSM40c99.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8148742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2982…73c7backed Oh My God71c97.13$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked ZSM30c96.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7711146.8%52 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1342…5e18backed Oh My God73c92.14$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.891957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d89…ff81backed Oh My God70c89$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad43…1a69backed ZSM32c87.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282015%3 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Oh My God70c87$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed ZSM30c86.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2612242.6%52 W · 70 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.