TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5899…032d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT5538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$29.12
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$36.72
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+198%+$233.12
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$16.33
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Hornets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+105.2%+$41.68
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+127.3%+$35.38
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+104.1%+$16.65
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+107.7%+$35.56
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Spread: Pistons (-12.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+100%+$11
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Rockets vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.