NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17ec4314fb4bdd37ebceecdba0e2c875e02c858430452b4a2f272768010da276
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,583,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,597,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,583,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Spurs | 45c | 1,154,996$525,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629,996.19 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Thunder | 55c | 693,030$381,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381,233.54 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Thunder | 54c | 516,315$280,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280,157.89 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Spurs | 46c | 71,925$33,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,788.76 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Thunder | 53c | 61,513$32,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,602.04 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Thunder | 54c | 50,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,000 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Spurs | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,000 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Thunder | 55c | 40,023$22,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,011.88 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Spurs | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,900 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Spurs | 57c | 27,708$15,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,786.35 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Spurs | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,399.97 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 55c | 15,982$8,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,740.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Spurs | 45c | 14,806$6,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,143.04 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder | 56c | 11,522$6,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,452.32 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Thunder | 54c | 11,061$5,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,972.97 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 45c | 10,564$4,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,753.91 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Thunder | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Spurs | 47c | 8,803$4,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,685.33 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Spurs | 46c | 7,878$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,254.11 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…922cbacked Spurs | 45c | 7,532$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,142.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Thunder | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Thunder | 50c | 6,194$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,097 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Thunder | 51c | 4,500$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.96 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…e517backed Spurs | 45c | 4,469$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Thunder | 56c | 4,406$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.1 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Spurs | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Spurs | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 45c | 4,060$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.36 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Spurs | 45c | 3,415$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.3 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Thunder | 55c | 2,518$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.66 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Thunder | 55c | 2,447$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.85 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Spurs | 47c | 2,444$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.72 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs | 47c | 2,063$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.03 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Thunder | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder | 55c | 1,834$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Spurs | 77c | 1,660$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.32 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 45c | 1,628$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder | 37c | 1,602$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.02 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Spurs | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Thunder | 55c | 1,486$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.92 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Spurs | 80c | 1,381$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.41 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs | 50c | 1,380$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.18 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Thunder | 22c | 1,379$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.93 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed Thunder | 54c | 1,312$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.66 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Spurs | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.35 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Spurs | 47c | 1,061$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.3 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Thunder | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Spurs | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Spurs | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…9811backed Thunder | 53c | 944.85$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.54 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Spurs | 44c | 900$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b6…09e2backed Spurs | 72c | 899.67$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.15 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…d765backed Spurs | 45c | 802.22$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.22 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Thunder | 42c | 759.68$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.7 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Thunder | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Thunder | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Thunder | 52c | 699.99$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Thunder | 32c | 653.89$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 46c | 650$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Thunder | 53c | 629.28$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.52 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…1415backed Thunder | 52c | 600$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Thunder | 50c | 595.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Spurs | 45c | 548$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.4 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed Spurs | 47c | 540.59$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.59 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Spurs | 47c | 529.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.89 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Spurs | 48c | 502.08$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Spurs | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Spurs | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Thunder | 56c | 499.98$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.99 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Spurs | 45c | 466.67$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.67 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Thunder | 56c | 448.2$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Spurs | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Spurs | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ff…f3f3backed Spurs | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Thunder | 55c | 418.17$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 55c | 413$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…8f5ebacked Thunder | 55c | 400$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Thunder | 45c | 379.6$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.9 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Thunder | 56c | 358.54$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.78 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Thunder | 56c | 350$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Thunder | 53c | 346.05$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.47 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Thunder | 5c | 336.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Spurs | 47c | 319.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03fc…a8e6backed Spurs | 39c | 312.77$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.77 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Spurs | 44c | 305$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.85 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…a9a3backed Spurs | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Thunder | 13c | 300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Spurs | 49c | 297.75$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.74 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Thunder | 53c | 252.52$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.84 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Thunder | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9018…c0d1backed Thunder | 55c | 241.82$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Spurs | 48c | 238.08$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Spurs | 43c | 231$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.46 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Spurs | 48c | 215$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Thunder | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Spurs | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Spurs | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Thunder | 26c | 201.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Spurs | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Spurs | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.