TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x101c…7df8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
226
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Lol, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 62 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT8644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$271.35
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.4
Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.2
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.8
Spread: Raptors (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Cavaliers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Spread: Pistons (-16.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,649Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,648.94
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,484.96
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,084Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$2,349.96
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$526.61
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$164
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$850
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+222.6%+$179.4
Nets vs. Thunderbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$202.1
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$946Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$946
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+94.6%+$333.46
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+318.4%+$456.6
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+66.7%+$60.64
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$66.15
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,933Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+127.1%+$2,456.43
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT7842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,417Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,417.14
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$64.9
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.97
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.11
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.11
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$371.88
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$215.57
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31.53
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,487Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$1,876.03
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+226.2%+$159.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,999.19
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$51.35
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$660.8
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$92.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+233.3%+$146.94
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$41.12
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$53.09
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$262.84
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+72.5%+$217.13
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$121.6
Counter-Strike: FriendlyCampers vs Heroic (BO3)backed FriendlyCampers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$34.6
Will FaZe Clan win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$718.4
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.25per pick54cpaid+61.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$94.5
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$4,340.34
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$52
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+122.2%+$44
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37%+$162.21
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+58.1%+$195.71
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$139.26
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$551
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$9.96
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$713Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$437.27
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+25%+$136.95
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$5.27
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$44.56
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$35.24
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+257.6%+$95.6
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$485.22
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$177.1
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+43%+$96.04
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$97.05
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$116.92
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10,117.66
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$231
Manchester City vs. Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$835.97
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$87.71
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$219.33
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.89
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,661Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$1,061.85
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+100%+$830.42
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+68.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-59.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+185.7%+$45.5
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,040.28
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$460
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+47.6%+$219.03
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+47.2%+$246.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$246.16
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,772Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,771.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+100%+$336
Ducks vs. Capitalsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$242.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs NRG (BO3)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$550.79
Valorant: MIBR vs DRXbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$244.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,607Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+58.7%+$1,531.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands beat Spain?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$807Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$345.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California vs. Hawaiibacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$105.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$121.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.