NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bee91f1e5415731650f1aab88dd009a2b093ee479b7caeb9e6d2c309f459e3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Nets, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,140,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,344,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,140,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Nets | 11c | 1,583,007$170,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170,464.11 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Nets | 10c | 133,962$12,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,826.58 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Nets | 9c | 86,768$7,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,583.9 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Nets | 9c | 65,382$6,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,104.34 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Nets | 9c | 47,690$4,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,090.18 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Nets | 10c | 32,993$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361.36 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nets | 10c | 27,678$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.86 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Nets | 12c | 26,772$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,194.51 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nets | 9c | 22,222$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Nets | 1c | 16,166$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.17 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Nets | 16c | 15,228$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.35 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Nets | 10c | 14,800$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.99 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…d373backed Nets | 12c | 14,008$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.69 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nets | 7c | 13,795$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.64 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Nets | 4c | 13,342$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Nets | 1c | 12,392$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.36 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Nets | 10c | 10,011$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.1 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Nets | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Nets | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…3b1dbacked Nets | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Nets | 10c | 9,420$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.42 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…6304backed Nets | 12c | 8,645$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.6 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets | 1c | 8,520$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Nets | 1c | 8,407$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Nets | 11c | 7,984$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.21 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nets | 1c | 6,683$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nets | 10c | 6,050$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nets | 6c | 5,406$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.46 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Nets | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Nets | 0c | 4,854$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Nets | 4c | 4,724$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.25 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nets | 5c | 4,372$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.84 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Nets | 1c | 4,322$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Nets | 9c | 4,006$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.94 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Nets | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Nets | 1c | 3,955$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 420 | 0.7%3 W · 417 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59e…22b6backed Nets | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.97 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nets | 1c | 3,586$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nets | 1c | 2,779$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Nets | 14c | 2,222$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.08 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Nets | 13c | 2,055$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.06 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…fdb5backed Nets | 3c | 2,046$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 224 | 23.7%53 W · 171 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Nets | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Nets | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Nets | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Nets | 8c | 1,990$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.2 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…07adbacked Nets | 5c | 1,980$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.58 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Nets | 4c | 1,863$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Nets | 16c | 1,796$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.66 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Nets | 10c | 1,786$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.6 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1779…eef2backed Nets | 9c | 1,783$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nets | 3c | 1,667$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0aa…cd19backed Nets | 1c | 1,472$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Nets | 3c | 1,472$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…3147backed Nets | 8c | 1,460$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…ee20backed Nets | 1c | 1,451$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Nets | 10c | 1,450$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.41 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed Nets | 9c | 1,300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd715…915abacked Nets | 11c | 1,300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Nets | 9c | 1,286$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.74 | 699 | 29.8%208 W · 491 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…c5dbbacked Nets | 9c | 1,278$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Nets | 12c | 1,240$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.47 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6c…0b29backed Nets | 4c | 1,211$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 174 | 30.5%53 W · 121 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9f…a198backed Nets | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nets | 9c | 1,186$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 524 | 32.6%171 W · 353 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Nets | 13c | 1,174$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Nets | 9c | 1,120$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd07…5ce1backed Nets | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Nets | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca6b…9c23backed Nets | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Nets | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 355 | 31.8%113 W · 242 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e4…7310backed Nets | 11c | 1,100$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Nets | 8c | 1,094$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Nets | 12c | 1,082$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.84 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed Nets | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Nets | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Nets | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x797d…b890backed Nets | 4c | 1,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…925abacked Nets | 8c | 939.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 8c | 914.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…2bc3backed Nets | 10c | 849.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Nets | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8a…4d5fbacked Nets | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Nets | 5c | 830.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…66acbacked Nets | 2c | 813.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…02bbbacked Nets | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb671…c742backed Nets | 9c | 777$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Nets | 14c | 770$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.39 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Nets | 10c | 669.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c8…b0dcbacked Nets | 9c | 666.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Nets | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Nets | 12c | 656$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 273 | 24.5%67 W · 206 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19da…5f1abacked Nets | 10c | 624.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Nets | 10c | 616.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…d88ebacked Nets | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…b6d0backed Nets | 10c | 576.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…72a4backed Nets | 10c | 569$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Nets | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Nets | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Nets | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Thunderthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Thunder won
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Nets vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Under won
- Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Under won
- Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Under won
- Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Under won
- Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.