TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc20…c5db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$40.57
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$73.78
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.52
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$41.03
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.63
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.6
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.84
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.42
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.69
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$59.33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.61
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.68
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.1
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.7
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.61
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.65
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.9
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$24.53
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.25
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$17.69
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$298.71
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$480
Nets vs. Thunderbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$231.82
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$110.83
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+42.9%+$124.87
Nets vs. Sunsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$178
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$112.24
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.94
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$159.84
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$355
Hornets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+257.1%+$540
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+150%+$465
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+150%+$555
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26.6%+$59.75
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.32per pick53cpaid-66.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$201.09
Avalanche vs. Red Wingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+69.5%+$139.84
Avalanche vs. Canadiensbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$215
Ducks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$138
Wild vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Sharks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$235.51
Lightning vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$521
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$291
Blue Jackets vs. Sharksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$322.1
Capitals vs. Panthersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$280
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Utah vs. Avalanchebacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Blues vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+47.1%+$60.71
Maple Leafs vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+49.3%+$44.33
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$155.42
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$49.97
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$127.87
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$180
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$77.78
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+38.9%+$110.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$253
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed Cagliari Calcio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.