NFL · resolved market
Seahawks vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54b2ed0354ae7892a806190d68601310f5d0e72dc30a256619a30d298bbd04bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Seahawks, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,036,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,498,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,036,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 512 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Seahawks | 74c | 440,724$326,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,020.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seahawks | 74c | 400,000$296,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,000 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Panthers | 25c | 225,737$57,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,324.07 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Panthers | 26c | 128,503$33,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,410.9 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Panthers | 26c | 96,016$24,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,964.08 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Panthers | 25c | 88,559$22,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,579.98 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Panthers | 26c | 51,012$13,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,263.03 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Seahawks | 68c | 50,388$34,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,124.06 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Panthers | 32c | 50,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Panthers | 9c | 48,271$4,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,269.02 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Panthers | 26c | 40,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Panthers | 26c | 37,900$9,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,854 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Panthers | 27c | 31,759$8,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,430.42 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Panthers | 27c | 31,133$8,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,406 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Panthers | 27c | 30,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Panthers | 21c | 29,478$6,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,162.18 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Panthers | 29c | 23,642$6,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,828.48 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Panthers | 6c | 21,465$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.71 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Panthers | 26c | 20,848$5,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,412.02 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Panthers | 26c | 20,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Panthers | 6c | 19,090$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.5 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Panthers | 27c | 19,067$5,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,063.21 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Panthers | 27c | 18,519$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Panthers | 8c | 15,034$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.08 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Panthers | 25c | 14,386$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650.37 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panthers | 26c | 14,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Seahawks | 74c | 13,448$9,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,496.56 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Panthers | 18c | 12,232$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.53 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Seahawks | 74c | 12,072$8,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,138.63 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Panthers | 5c | 12,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Seahawks | 70c | 11,377$7,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,433.63 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seahawks | 72c | 11,066$7,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.52 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Panthers | 17c | 10,976$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.44 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Panthers | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +119%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Panthers | 10c | 8,665$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.08 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Panthers | 26c | 8,556$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Seahawks | 73c | 8,000$5,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Panthers | 25c | 7,819$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.75 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Seahawks | 67c | 7,500$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Panthers | 27c | 7,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Seahawks | 74c | 7,004$5,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.15 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Panthers | 26c | 7,000$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Seahawks | 74c | 6,181$4,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.03 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Seahawks | 74c | 6,158$4,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Panthers | 26c | 5,426$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.72 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Seahawks | 73c | 5,090$3,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.3 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…cb44backed Seahawks | 74c | 5,081$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.08 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Seahawks | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Seahawks | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Seahawks | 74c | 4,130$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.6 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…e1d7backed Seahawks | 75c | 4,095$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Panthers | 29c | 4,048$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.43 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6c…dcdfbacked Seahawks | 75c | 3,472$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Panthers | 16c | 3,459$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.46 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Seahawks | 75c | 3,247$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…3cc5backed Panthers | 23c | 3,100$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Panthers | 13c | 3,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…ceb4backed Seahawks | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Panthers | 27c | 2,967$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.21 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…97afbacked Seahawks | 73c | 2,847$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.78 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Seahawks | 74c | 2,800$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Panthers | 11c | 2,751$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.03 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Seahawks | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Seahawks | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x237a…7810backed Panthers | 12c | 2,641$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.75 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +70%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seahawks | 75c | 2,609$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.91 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Panthers | 26c | 2,505$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.3 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Panthers | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x390f…54ebbacked Panthers | 25c | 2,475$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Panthers | 3c | 2,300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Panthers | 28c | 2,296$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.92 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Panthers | 1c | 2,255$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Seahawks | 72c | 2,236$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.69 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Panthers | 6c | 2,173$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.15 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…cd94backed Panthers | 25c | 2,049$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.2 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Panthers | 17c | 2,027$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.38 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Panthers | 27c | 2,004$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.49 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Panthers | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Panthers | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Panthers | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Panthers | 27c | 2,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Panthers | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Seahawks | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Panthers | 16c | 2,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…ba8bbacked Panthers | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Seahawks | 74c | 1,955$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.53 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Seahawks | 74c | 1,897$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Panthers | 27c | 1,870$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Panthers | 23c | 1,861$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.01 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Panthers | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd192…d266backed Seahawks | 75c | 1,800$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00be…5acabacked Seahawks | 80c | 1,800$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7c66backed Panthers | 17c | 1,747$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Panthers | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Panthers | 16c | 1,700$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Seahawks | 74c | 1,631$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.08 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Seahawks | 75c | 1,572$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.63 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Seahawks | 74c | 1,519$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.99 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Panthers | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Seahawks | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seahawks vs. Panthersthis page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)Panthers won
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)Panthers won
- Seahawks vs. Panthers: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Panthers: O/U 28.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Panthers: O/U 38.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Panthers: O/U 42.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Panthers: O/U 43.5Under won
- Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-8.5)Seahawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.