NFL · resolved market
Seahawks vs. Panthers: O/U 42.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9159c3f9f26c7da75bcf167e85a775cedc6016a7bbe84e576a2ef6dc811c09d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 9,000$4,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,540 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Over | 50c | 5,345$2,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,672.42 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 2,712$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.19 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 1,790$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.36 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 49c | 1,686$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.28 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 923.36$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.11 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 49c | 915$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.84 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 48c | 895$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.17 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 51c | 889.16$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.47 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…3edcbacked Under | 50c | 678.46$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 391.42$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.42 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Under | 48c | 390$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Over | 53c | 378.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 48c | 256.69$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.48 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Over | 52c | 209$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 49c | 206.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 194$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x575b…14f0backed Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 48c | 145.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 131$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 48c | 111.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 48c | 101$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 48c | 99.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…935bbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…57f1backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 52c | 77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…1dbebacked Over | 52c | 76.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 28c | 44.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Over | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…231cbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Over | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Over | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d60…50dbbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Over | 52c | 21.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seahawks vs. Panthers: O/U 42.5this page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)Panthers won
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)Panthers won
- Seahawks vs. PanthersSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Panthers: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Panthers: O/U 28.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Panthers: O/U 38.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Panthers: O/U 43.5Under won
- Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-8.5)Seahawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.