TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seahawksof Seahawks, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,237
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,202

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,237 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9731…9b35backed Seahawks44c9,943$4,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,544.1654451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Seahawks44c8,000$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,479.9951352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Panthers56c7,665$4,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,292.424440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Seahawks46c7,529$3,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,066.1923937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Seahawks43c7,066$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,027.7783147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Panthers57c6,000$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,42024053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Panthers56c5,893$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30010648.1%51 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Panthers57c5,857$3,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,339.128551.8%44 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Seahawks43c5,324$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,034.7275852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Panthers53c4,300$2,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,27919152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Panthers56c4,190$2,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,346.453348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Seahawks43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,71015446.8%72 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Panthers53c2,755$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.2886547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Panthers55c2,531$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.571,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Seahawks44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.736647%31 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Seahawks44c2,200$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.9565048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Panthers56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12015252.6%80 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Panthers56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12026650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Seahawks46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.9919543.6%85 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Panthers55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Seahawks45c1,781$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.6439447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Seahawks45c1,652$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.341,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Seahawks44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84022446.4%104 W · 120 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71a5…c3eabacked Panthers57c1,385$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.223429.4%10 W · 24 L-7.7wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-49.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x6d89…40a4backed Panthers54c1,350$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.991752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Panthers58c1,303$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75012550.4%63 W · 62 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9934…6078backed Panthers58c1,102$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.784944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Seahawks46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.962755.6%15 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Panthers57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57026649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Seahawks47c915.89$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.775265.4%34 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Seahawks47c851.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.3811156.8%63 W · 48 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Panthers54c746.79$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.273253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Panthers57c701.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016648.2%80 W · 86 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Seahawks42c685.36$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.5139754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35de…b39abacked Seahawks47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.320143.3%87 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Panthers55c610.91$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3365949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4da6…59fabacked Seahawks47c580.85$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.853650%18 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd1e…68a5backed Seahawks45c487.14$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Panthers56c392.22$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.914746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabc…a190backed Panthers53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Panthers57c350$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.58345.8%38 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Seahawks47c349.99$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.495939%23 W · 36 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Panthers55c345.33$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0755345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf527…366bbacked Panthers47c306.9$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1433930.8%12 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Panthers53c306.29$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3321254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb225…d86bbacked Panthers58c301.72$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1758956.2%50 W · 39 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked Seahawks46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1625154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Panthers57c288.77$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.8150242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e57…21cbbacked Panthers56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Panthers56c266$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9614641.8%61 W · 85 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Panthers53c249.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.520650.5%104 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Seahawks43c246.65$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5956852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Panthers55c227.27$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255952.5%31 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Seahawks43c220$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.459453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Seahawks45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1217164.8%46 W · 25 L+10.7wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Panthers57c200.67$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.381662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Panthers55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Seahawks46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10813347.4%63 W · 70 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Panthers54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1089651%49 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5912…2fe0backed Panthers55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c01…428ebacked Panthers56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001926.3%5 W · 14 L-5.3wins-0.28per pick54cpaid-55.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Panthers55c162.34$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Seahawks44c159.09$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.092544%11 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Seahawks44c154.91$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9134652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Panthers56c136.75$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5836341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a59…e94cbacked Panthers54c130.02$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Panthers56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609641.7%40 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Seahawks48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1722053.2%117 W · 103 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdcd…b8e6backed Panthers57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95bc…9f00backed Seahawks47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5312945%58 W · 71 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Panthers56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5624352.7%128 W · 115 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Panthers48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4829439.5%116 W · 178 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Panthers55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505335.8%19 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Panthers55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Panthers71c86$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.066055%33 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Panthers57c84$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8824547.8%117 W · 128 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc840…0650backed Seahawks44c83.64$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.792347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Seahawks43c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.613844.9%62 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Panthers55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404951%25 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Panthers55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019638.8%76 W · 120 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Seahawks46c70.57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0720757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Seahawks77c67$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4164747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Seahawks44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.613357.1%76 W · 57 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Seahawks44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.611463.2%72 W · 42 L+14.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Seahawks44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.610864.8%70 W · 38 L+15.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Seahawks42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.811253.6%60 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Seahawks42c59.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7912458.1%72 W · 52 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x036a…4c9abacked Seahawks47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.195648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe533…8d18backed Seahawks38c53.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.714245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Seahawks43c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.55851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf35…b327backed Panthers54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516946.7%79 W · 90 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6788…f69dbacked Seahawks44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.453262.5%20 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+35.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x973a…70e6backed Seahawks48c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.47262.5%45 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Seahawks42c44.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9232043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1847…460fbacked Panthers57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3552…f07bbacked Seahawks46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.486246.8%29 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ada…b8a0backed Seahawks46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.486850%34 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Panthers52c42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8473651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Seahawks29c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.468446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d48…b9a1backed Panthers55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.