TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5912…2fe0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 53 out of 100; worst College Football at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: CLE (-1.5)backed CLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.7%+$47.71
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
1H Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H Moneylinebacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Spread: Bills (-2.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+66.7%+$133.33
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Colts vs. Texans: O/U 39.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Vikings (-9.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+67.6%+$67.57
Spread: Patriots (-11.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
Spread: Bills (-7.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+73.1%+$73.08
Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$150.88
Spread: Seahawks (-1.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Giants vs. Raiders: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+82%+$81.96
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nicholls Colonels (-2.5)backed Nicholls Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Arizona Wildcats vs. UCF Knights: O/U 163.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: North Alabama Lions (-2.5)backed Jacksonville Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+40%+$80.05
Florida Gators vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 160.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-1.5)backed Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Lafayette Leopards (-2.5)backed Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Wagner Seahawks vs. New Haven Chargers: O/U 128.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Spread: Wichita State Shockers (-5.5)backed Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Spread: Milwaukee Panthers (-11.5)backed IU Indy Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-5.5)backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 154.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Marist Red Foxes vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 128.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Florida Atlantic Owls (-2.5)backed Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+54.4%+$54.4
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-1.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. San Diego State Aztecs: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Montana Grizzlies (-1.5)backed Eastern Washington Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Spread: Hofstra Pride (-9.5)backed Monmouth Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-13.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Buffalo Bulls vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Rhode Island Rams vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Austin Peay Governors vs. Stetson Hatters: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+72.5%+$14.49
Lafayette Leopards vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+68.3%+$13.66
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Cornell Big Red: O/U 176.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 24 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2450%12 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+65.9%+$791.71
O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Miami (-3.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
O/U 56.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Indiana (-6.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Spread: Houston (-2.5)backed LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+71.6%+$71.65
Spread: Missouri (-4.5)backed Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Spread: North Texas (-5.5)backed North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: BYU (-4.5)backed Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+82.4%+$82.39
Spread: Army (-8.5)backed Connecticut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Clemson (-3.5)backed Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Spread: Pittsburgh (-9.5)backed Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$200
O/U 59.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Spread: Minnesota (-2.5)backed New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Northwestern (-10.5)backed Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Spread: UNLV Runnin' (-6.5)backed UNLV Runnin' · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Western Kentucky (-1.5)backed Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Knicks vs. Suns: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Jazz vs. Warriors: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Warriors (-12.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+65%+$64.95
Hornets vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Spread: Nets (-1.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+71.2%+$71.24
Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 248.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+32.2%+$6.45
Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+740.3%+$740.34
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+46.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.29
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+42.5%+$8.49
Spread: Jets (-1.5)backed Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+45.7%+$9.15
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Fugitt vs. Miller (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Miller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.