NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b94c34adf504b54853d4f7a469659077dabc8bbeeb5f8a5c09fc882ce8d5467
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Celtics, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Celtics | 50c | 14,641$7,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,313.72 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Pacers | 47c | 13,862$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,362.34 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3910…a66dbacked Celtics | 50c | 5,105$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Pacers | 48c | 4,500$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6043…84afbacked Pacers | 48c | 4,253$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaceb…6f8ebacked Celtics | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pacers | 50c | 3,439$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.62 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Celtics | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Pacers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Celtics | 53c | 2,908$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.99 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 53c | 2,066$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Celtics | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Pacers | 49c | 1,798$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.98 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pacers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 51c | 1,338$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Celtics | 53c | 1,228$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.06 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Celtics | 49c | 1,104$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Pacers | 51c | 999.96$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.98 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 46c | 641.98$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.32 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Pacers | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Pacers | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Celtics | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Pacers | 47c | 350$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Pacers | 51c | 305.23$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.85 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Pacers | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Pacers | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb452…2658backed Celtics | 57c | 249.15$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Pacers | 51c | 240$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pacers | 51c | 240$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Pacers | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Pacers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24c…fde7backed Pacers | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Celtics | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Pacers | 54c | 190.68$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Pacers | 53c | 188.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Pacers | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Celtics | 54c | 101$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Pacers | 48c | 100.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Celtics | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Pacers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Celtics | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Pacers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Celtics | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pacers | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Pacers | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Pacers | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 48c | 88.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Celtics | 52c | 75.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Celtics | 53c | 73.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1a…0559backed Celtics | 50c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Pacers | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Pacers | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Celtics | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Pacers | 44c | 56.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Pacers | 50c | 56.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 48c | 54.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Celtics | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Pacers | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Pacers | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pacers | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Celtics | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pacers | 44c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Celtics | 51c | 45.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -12.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…ab1cbacked Celtics | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pacers | 46c | 43.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Celtics | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 230 | 51.3%118 W · 112 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked Celtics | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Pacers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Celtics | 52c | 37.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Pacers | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Pacers | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Pacers | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Pacers | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Pacers | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Pacers | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Pacers | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Pacers | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Pacers | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Pacers | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Pacers | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Pacers | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Pacers | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Pacers | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Celtics | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Celtics | 57c | 35.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Pacers | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Pacers | 76c | 26.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6127backed Celtics | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…1435backed Celtics | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Pacers won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Pacers won
- Pacers vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.