TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Pacers, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,497,014
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,507,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,497,014 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 717 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd9b…414dbacked Pacers18c134,931$24,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,452.1351844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pacers29c61,621$17,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,737.861,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Pacers20c30,733$6,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,057.8334062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pacers18c29,027$5,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,281.6147028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Celtics73c22,784$16,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,081.137557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers57c21,173$12,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,067.694,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Pacers18c20,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Pacers78c19,000$14,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,819.996352.4%33 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Pacers19c18,558$3,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,544.8936741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics37c18,127$6,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,362.368,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers18c17,926$3,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,148.461,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Pacers60c17,530$10,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,452.317869.2%54 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Celtics80c15,518$12,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,103.5713455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Celtics48c15,078$7,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,834.291,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Pacers56c15,051$8,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,49362652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Pacers18c15,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75027424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pacers17c15,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.981,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Celtics40c12,798$5,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,657.4848046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Pacers30c12,791$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,90018140.3%73 W · 108 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers54c12,331$6,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,713.983,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Pacers17c11,755$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.3592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d90…1310backed Celtics71c11,616$8,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,332.0915274.3%113 W · 39 L+22.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Pacers50c11,161$5,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,580.5476850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Pacers37c11,043$4,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,098.1125925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers1c11,039$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.391,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Pacers17c10,656$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.5461835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Celtics62c9,752$6,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,703.9144654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Celtics47c9,000$4,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7701963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Celtics46c8,845$4,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,758.7273649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Celtics76c8,500$6,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.1626637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Celtics65c8,064$5,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,797.8613442.5%57 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Pacers17c8,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.9918142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Celtics42c7,492$3,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,330.6912843.8%56 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Celtics62c7,259$4,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,740.835,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c7…62dabacked Pacers19c6,689$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3003336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers9c6,491$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.361,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Celtics46c6,200$2,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3488451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Celtics43c5,975$2,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,409.041,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Celtics80c5,690$4,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,13817141.5%71 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e47…3d20backed Celtics37c5,596$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,526.793658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Celtics48c5,444$2,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,838.462,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers21c5,129$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.991,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pacers61c5,000$3,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,069.191,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Celtics61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.9927251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Pacers16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9818045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Pacers17c4,985$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.614244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Pacers18c4,922$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88624847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6603…959ebacked Celtics70c4,831$3,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.242055%11 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+66.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Pacers39c4,681$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.061,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pacers10c4,488$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.781,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff4…ebd9backed Celtics80c4,095$3,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8191040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0140…f773backed Pacers20c4,078$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.75433.3%18 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+57%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pacers35c3,842$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.682,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Celtics39c3,734$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.453,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8702…6304backed Pacers47c3,584$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.239026.7%24 W · 66 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Celtics79c3,575$2,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.6831455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Pacers17c3,500$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6058742.5%37 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Pacers18c3,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62578445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pacers18c3,500$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.9995641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ddf…2c83backed Pacers1c3,100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.43234.4%11 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Pacers63c3,040$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90034456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Pacers33c3,029$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.7966744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Celtics52c3,012$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.418343.4%36 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Celtics80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60010057%57 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Pacers16c2,839$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.3226247.7%125 W · 137 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Celtics55c2,728$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22829037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Pacers19c2,632$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x561a…8e0bbacked Celtics80c2,600$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5202263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+72.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x869f…0408backed Pacers20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Celtics33c2,460$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.3948146.2%222 W · 259 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Celtics61c2,459$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.0241954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Celtics35c2,410$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.4411834.7%41 W · 77 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Pacers18c2,222$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Pacers17c2,216$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.74617.4%8 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Celtics79c2,152$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.37957%45 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Celtics54c2,050$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pacers34c2,040$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.281,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Pacers25c2,023$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.5918931.2%59 W · 130 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce3…9d85backed Pacers18c2,019$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.36120%0 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pacers38c2,017$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.585344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Pacers18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3609042.2%38 W · 52 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Pacers1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x476d…67c6backed Celtics63c2,000$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502035%7 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked Pacers19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38020453.9%110 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc374…46f4backed Pacers19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Pacers18c2,000$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.9821538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers2c1,975$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.988820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers49c1,850$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.523,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1342…5e18backed Celtics72c1,824$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.28366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Pacers19c1,800$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34228742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Pacers20c1,650$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32240035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2838…fdd3backed Celtics69c1,640$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.64247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31ac…392cbacked Pacers38c1,639$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.332356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+33.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed Pacers62c1,610$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.22437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb4…7124backed Celtics47c1,589$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.591952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Pacers19c1,579$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30035531.8%113 W · 242 L+1.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Pacers18c1,560$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.8422637.2%84 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Pacers29c1,503$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.4634227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Pacers20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Pacers17c1,500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9917931.8%57 W · 122 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.