TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa25…05e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST6352.4%33 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$4,000
Pistons vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$8,098Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+34.6%+$2,802
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,497Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$6,497.1
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,476Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$3,476.16
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$480
Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+89.8%+$15.14
Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+108.7%+$30.93
Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+92.6%+$165.38
Pistons vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,597Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+89.2%+$4,992.17
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$471.8
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 245.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,237Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,237.02
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$613.78
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 247.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+87.4%+$206.72
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 248.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,034Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+79.4%+$2,409.6
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$3,043.7
Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+100%+$5,000
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14,819.99
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+61.3%+$1,900
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+344.4%+$7,750
Rockets vs. Kings: 1H Moneylinebacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$9,270Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+29.4%+$2,730
Heat vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$716Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$716.4
Heat vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,813Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+51.9%+$2,500.16
Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 247.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,669Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,668.66
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,745Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+63.9%+$1,755
Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,138Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$3,138.17
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST2948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,742Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$2,742.24
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$802Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+47.1%+$377.6
Patriots vs. Jets: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,466Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$3,466
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$370.64
Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 39.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,237Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$6,237.22
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,900Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+28.2%+$1,100
Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$8,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$8,285.71
Spread: 49ers (-5.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
49ers vs. Colts: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$5,720
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,002Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+141.2%+$7,061.84
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17,813Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+90.3%+$16,093.41
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$2,520
Jets vs. Saintsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$5,010.77
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$5,000
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$967Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$966.5
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,329Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+142.6%+$7,600.29
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,940Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+101.7%+$7,060
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$5,267.31
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,650Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+37%+$1,350
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$9,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$9,500
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$7,431Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+121.1%+$8,999.1
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$6,582Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$6,582
Spread: Seahawks (-10.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,424Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+117.4%+$5,193.43
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$9,008Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+222.6%+$20,053.84
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+122.2%+$5,500
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST2850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Bruinsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,880Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+112.8%+$2,120
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$960
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$4,935.55
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+88.9%+$4,755.81
Kraken vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,680Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$1,320
Canucks vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,830
Maple Leafs vs. Predatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$695.13
Oilers vs. Wildbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$868Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$867.56
Red Wings vs. Capitalsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+138.1%+$1,740
Oilers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$5,044.68
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$5,175
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$4,183.41
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+72.4%+$4,200
Islanders vs. Red Wingsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$9,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$9,009.17
Senators vs. Jetsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$8,280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$9,720
Canadiens vs. Rangersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,548Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$6,547.58
Panthers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,945Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$6,944.86
Golden Knights vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,050Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$4,950
Ducks vs. Islandersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,297Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,296.98
Rangers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+132.6%+$2,850
Bruins vs. Bluesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,860Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+108.2%+$5,256.84
Golden Knights vs. Islandersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,944Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$3,944.04
Ducks vs. Penguinsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,064Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$2,236
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,845Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$6,844.63
Devils vs. Senatorsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,680Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+117.4%+$4,319.99
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12,008.88
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,755Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+103.2%+$6,970.15
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+53.8%+$1,400
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,653Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+49.3%+$814.41
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,474Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$3,474.24
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$520
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$2,479.55
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+53.8%+$700
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,385Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+136.6%+$8,724.61
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$760
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,727Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,727.23
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$6,205Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+134.6%+$8,354.35
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10,070Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+68.8%+$6,930
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$6,000
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$7,046Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+125.2%+$8,823.9
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$7,150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+193.7%+$13,849.97
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$3,540
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$4,899.66
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,309Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$4,309.05
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,630Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,629.7
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,270
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+77.1%+$4,789.99
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$7,165Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$7,165.17
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,411Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+76%+$2,590.88
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,465Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+112.8%+$5,035
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$3,960
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$3,620
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$3,220
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,905Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$669.39
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,355Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$3,354.91
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed CA Osasuna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+63.8%+$3,918.29
Will Cádiz CF win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,800
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-61.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-57%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Lipscomb Bisons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$360.6
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10,013.66
Lamar Cardinals vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked Lamar Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$3,931Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$3,931.31
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton Tigersbacked Merrimack College Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,548Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+114.8%+$5,221.03
TCU Horned Frogs vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$8,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$8,169.32
All 5 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18,971Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+37.5%+$7,120.85
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$8,909Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+56.2%+$5,002.92
Ohio State vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$5,249.59
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$7,400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+170.3%+$12,599.99
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$3,000
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$9,564Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$9,563.55
Will Mali win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,486Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+129.1%+$3,208.38
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$548.68
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,457Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+175.8%+$2,561.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$9,740Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+93.9%+$9,147.23
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$3,286.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+577.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,424Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+577.5%+$8,223.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2025-12-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+143.9%+$1,179.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+104.1%+$5,099.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$5,458.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,982Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,981.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Internacional win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,326Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$4,326.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.