Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
TCU Horned Frogs vs. North Texas Mean Green
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa46e47e247cfac108836880d140ea066da540f0d4f9759b2abe2f2f0c5d7635e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TCU Horned Frogsof TCU Horned Frogs, North Texas Mean Green
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed North Texas Mean Green | 13c | 62,035$8,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,169.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 79c | 9,004$7,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.63 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 80c | 5,492$4,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.47 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Texas Mean Green | 17c | 4,175$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.25 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 80c | 3,299$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 77c | 2,881$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.27 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed North Texas Mean Green | 28c | 2,275$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.38 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked North Texas Mean Green | 22c | 1,961$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.34 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed TCU Horned Frogs | 71c | 1,756$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.8 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked North Texas Mean Green | 18c | 1,358$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.44 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed TCU Horned Frogs | 76c | 816$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.42 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked North Texas Mean Green | 19c | 800$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 74c | 669.63$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.62 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 77c | 645.97$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.57 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked North Texas Mean Green | 20c | 610.46$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.17 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Texas Mean Green | 30c | 465.9$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.28 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked North Texas Mean Green | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed TCU Horned Frogs | 76c | 394$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.28 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed TCU Horned Frogs | 79c | 300$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked North Texas Mean Green | 18c | 143.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…40b4backed TCU Horned Frogs | 70c | 142.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed North Texas Mean Green | 23c | 123.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed TCU Horned Frogs | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead3…b125backed North Texas Mean Green | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed TCU Horned Frogs | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fd…5dd3backed North Texas Mean Green | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed North Texas Mean Green | 48c | 28.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. North Texas Mean Greenthis page
- Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-8.5)TCU Horned Frogs won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 134.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 135.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.