TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf28e…cab2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,216
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT56646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 566 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Dallas Mavericksbacked Dallas Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$9,069Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$10,646.41
NBA Summer League: Chicago Bulls vs. LA Lakersbacked Chicago Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$44,967Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44,966.54
NBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New Orleans Pelicansbacked New Orleans Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54,539Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54,538.63
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,741Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$1,628.69
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,002.5
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,855Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$2,861.48
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,176.43
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$416.83
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$128,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$128,394.62
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$627.44
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,698Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$6,296.35
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+246.9%+$1,254.38
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,490Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$510
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$1,343.07
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$133.92
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$624.55
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,210
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$315
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,910Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,909.85
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12,136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$19,801.45
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15,543Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9,521.23
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$371.77
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,279Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$4,635.5
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24,361Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$24,360.78
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$376.45
Showing 25 of 566 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT21636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 216 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$54,750Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$20,249.95
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$6,514Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$7,345.85
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26,467Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$28,637.28
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.39
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$932Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$932.35
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-10.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.09
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$666.32
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$5,366Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$13,799.19
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,264.97
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,906Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,905.85
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-13.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.79
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$614.64
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,301.72
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.02
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,344Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$2,388.91
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,345.16
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$988Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,834.53
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$933Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$933.33
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,785Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$1,674.36
Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-4.5)backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,619Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,618.79
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.32
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,336Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,138.32
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$4,914Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,913.58
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.15
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,398.49
Showing 25 of 216 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT13738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 137 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39,996Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12,640.79
Enzo Fernández: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$514.96
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,062Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$926.29
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,421Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$2,343.54
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,615Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+111%+$1,792.74
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46,671Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+119%+$55,532.13
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,268.32
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.39
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30,994Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,994.09
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12,086Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7,727.19
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$144,929Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+26%+$37,719.29
France vs. Spain: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,266.19
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,323Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$4,182.6
Norway to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$1,630.95
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,170.98
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,392.6
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59,617Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$42,846.28
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72,105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$18,026.32
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$4,377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,377.45
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$6,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,879.55
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$3,076Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,076.13
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,938Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,937.89
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,038.13
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,334.23
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,240.83
Showing 25 of 137 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$19.25
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$540.32
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.56
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,382.11
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,237Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,012.43
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,863Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,862.86
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17,117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$4,279.37
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.52
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$6,263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,262.62
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$579Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$556.49
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,013Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+149.5%+$4,505.32
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,587Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$881.43
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,026Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,416.81
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,539Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$1,264.36
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.15
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$7,688Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$12,024.19
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$652Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$229.06
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$797Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$797.22
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$803Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$802.56
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$219.01
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,250
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$829Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,244.02
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$707Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$707.37
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.17
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$710.57
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT9749.5%48 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,269.79
San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,143.04
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+122.9%+$347.43
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,441.62
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$8,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,211.83
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$771.52
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,919Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,588.58
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$181,795Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$213,513.06
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,444.16
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$873Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,111.49
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$25,200
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,401Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,400.6
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,250
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.17
Colorado Rockies vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,794Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,794.14
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,286Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,869.97
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,645Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+98%+$6,513.29
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,933Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$7,215.94
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,752Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,440.55
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,679Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,282.3
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,811Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,811.36
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,102.7
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$613.8
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$814.35
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,262.3
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5042%21 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51,518Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14,530.68
JAX vs. NO: O/U 35.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,358Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$1,889.13
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$8,836Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$8,836.22
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$882
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.5%+$503.55
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$3,312.34
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$8,918Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$8,917.88
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,545Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$3,545.28
Spread: Texans (-1.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$42.27
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$125.31
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,588Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,587.54
Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$80
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,598.4
Spread: Bills (-1.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,995.69
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11,015Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3,870.12
Spread: Packers (-4.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,092Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,091.69
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+66.7%+$23.92
Spread: Rams (-14.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$3,879.56
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,342Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.7%+$1,660.14
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$151.97
Colts vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,187Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$1,235.48
Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,303.39
Spread: Patriots (-14.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$8,132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$7,506.36
Jets vs. Bills: O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,846Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,845.82
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquetbacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24,861Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7,850.96
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32,061Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$13,482.59
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$734Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$3,127.15
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,563Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,562.56
Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$6,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,248.9
Wimbledon ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,230.17
Wimbledon ATP: Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$7,272Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$5,714.01
Auger-Aliassime vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$466.94
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15,983Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+137.5%+$21,980.22
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,094Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,094.45
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,303Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$1,606.35
Cerundolo vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11,561Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13,571.26
Cerundolo vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.96
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$343.81
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16,585Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+122.6%+$20,336.79
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,631Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$3,933.41
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,216.99
All 17 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$32.5
Navy vs. Cincinnati: O/U 58.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$295.58
Spread: Navy (-7.5)backed Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,430Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$2,529.3
Rice vs. Texas State: O/U 55.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$234.17
Rice vs. Texas State: O/U 56.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$103
O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$203.4
O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+49.3%+$33
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,550
Miami (OH) vs. Fresno Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$99.9
Spread: Oregon (-21.5)backed James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+767.2%+$14,576.19
Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Louisiana-Lafayette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$5,000
Old Dominion vs. South Florida: O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,439Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+53.8%+$2,928.78
All 12 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-63.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$431.82
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$693.07
Will JT Poston win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$115.85
Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.2
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,766Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,766.04
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.49
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$941Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$940.6
Will Marco Penge finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$557.54
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11,648Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10,329.56
Men's Group A - Canada vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$263.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Tate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$600
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Falcons win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$23.43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.