TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,792
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,177

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,792 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Under74c29,169$21,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,644.5311952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa398…6c83backed Over26c20,663$5,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,195.241681.3%13 W · 3 L+5.7wins+0.36per pick46cpaid+79.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over25c14,194$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,653.5641842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Over64c7,830$5,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,792.53158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+51.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under36c5,175$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,862.8610650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over46c3,921$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.292951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f1…dcbebacked Under32c3,678$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+48.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under50c2,289$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.3835829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over44c2,170$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.2889355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over54c1,792$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.87955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8aa…a3c7backed Under69c1,400$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under41c1,196$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.361942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Over59c1,189$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.562564%16 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over70c1,156$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.921,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Over65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under74c908.35$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.2414551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over49c892.05$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.891,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under74c839.22$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.7976950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under30c833.78$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.382462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5062…0b34backed Over70c800$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under75c786.17$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.9561950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Under47c770.6$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.24633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-39.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under75c733.33$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over69c709.89$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.131154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over43c700$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39942847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6cd…acebbacked Under57c700$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under75c664.68$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.628749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over48c632$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.641,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under71c600$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42616546.7%77 W · 88 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over54c561.49$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.298469%58 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Under32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.2645069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over55c494.7$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.264136.6%15 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over57c475.31$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.763,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under76c471.85$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.728753.3%153 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under37c463.23$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.8622250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under28c437.84$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4592049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over25c420$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3153641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ef6…43f4backed Over24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+71.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over52c374.46$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7414254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under75c368$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.416046.7%28 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under19c332.2$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8135551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under44c320.54$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9517248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff0…2e7fbacked Under76c315.79$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402638.5%10 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f12…effbbacked Under35c297.03$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.961040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d4…8c7fbacked Over25c264$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1982100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.76per pick25cpaid+308.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over57c260.92$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9799638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under31c256$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8351343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over24c255.16$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.9242948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under35c250.97$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8413841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under42c244.24$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3814347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under74c240$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.62755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Over76c234.66$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.324100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9210667.9%72 W · 34 L+16.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1488150.6%41 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Over55c199.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3b…e920backed Over67c199.99$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3067…a44cbacked Under35c198.68$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under42c190.71$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4725345.5%115 W · 138 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under78c184$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7926657.1%152 W · 114 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over30c155.63$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.191866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+58.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaa10…065abacked Under38c155.26$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.75650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Over25c153.45$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.097533.3%25 W · 50 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b6d…db4fbacked Under31c139.66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.77580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f6…0981backed Over26c139.19$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.351275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+54.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Over51c136.04$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.042254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over49c134.55$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.09650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7976…e3c4backed Over38c132.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.89333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Over68c117.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd6…81f6backed Over75c105.87$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.471181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick74cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under35c101.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4638551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23bd…12ccbacked Over54c101.24$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52f9…3691backed Over66c98.48$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over56c96.15$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3114045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over22c88$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6412536%45 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Over50c82$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415939%23 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over48c79.6$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.195261.5%32 W · 20 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9ec…aa22backed Under30c78.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+105.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under33c77.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1434547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x115f…f51dbacked Over26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.92966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+38%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Under41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over58c69.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.161861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under32c67.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6562346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over62c67$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.291747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under37c66.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.256656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under40c64.58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8333251.5%171 W · 161 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over24c59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.844542.2%19 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under74c55.55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.117652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Under37c50.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.631250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under76c45.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.444158.5%24 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x039a…b09dbacked Under45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb481…4db8backed Over39c40.08$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.53966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under75c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.820855.8%116 W · 92 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under77c38.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked Over51c37.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.591747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under74c37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3813336.1%48 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over54c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.037047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under74c33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.423551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf090…aaffbacked Under64c30.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over55c28.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.032755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.