TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52f9…3691

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 51 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT4944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.86
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.48
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$56.58
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+182.7%+$109.62
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.34
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$47.95
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$121.82
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Korea Republic leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.56
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$30.68
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)backed Saudi Arabia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$21.51
Will Croatia vs. Slovenia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.62
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$40.79
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Bublik/Kyrgios vs Paul/Seggermanbacked Paul/Seggerman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
ITF Nice: Mathilde Lollia vs Maria Sara Popabacked Mathilde Lollia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
ITF Madrid: Alba Maria Coromina Boluda vs Marta Mariia Makarovabacked Marta Mariia Makarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
ITF Curtea de Arges: Radu David Turcanu vs Anas Mazdrashkibacked Anas Mazdrashki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+199.1%+$89.61
ITF Curtea de Arges: Theo Papamalamis vs Stefan Horia Haitabacked Theo Papamalamis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landalucebacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 8 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$33.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.