TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,412
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,135

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,412 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde49…fe85backed Over63c15,000$9,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,549.9948451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over49c8,901$4,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,518.744,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c8,729$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.9512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under51c6,665$3,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,397.9211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over48c6,337$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,285.468,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd03b…184cbacked Under37c3,055$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.3528453.9%153 W · 131 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under37c2,145$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.854,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Over48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3389153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under53c2,062$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.184,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under48c2,010$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.176,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over45c1,316$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.389,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over47c1,210$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.525249.2%124 W · 128 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under52c1,140$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.853,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under54c1,087$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.9868053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under48c1,026$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.661,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Under48c1,026$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.4597050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c907.29$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.795,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under48c872.44$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.772,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under53c660.98$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3227249.3%134 W · 138 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over44c559.33$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.93,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Under54c548.59$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.2419752.3%103 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c489.07$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.6810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Under48c487.46$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.9879255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under48c487.4$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.951,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25040348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c417.46$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.94,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Under48c415.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9632450.9%165 W · 159 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2166,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Under43c394.91$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.8114858.8%87 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Over53c380.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.993237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over49c372.93$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.3372655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x995e…13aebacked Under54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002729.6%8 W · 19 L-6.2wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-45%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under60c367.58$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22019153.9%103 W · 88 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76f…fd62backed Under61c335.3$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.53650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under53c322.34$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8438455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Over47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15969351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under48c295.82$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14259549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Over46c277.78$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15027452.6%144 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dec…c92dbacked Under54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010459.6%62 W · 42 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Under61c270.49$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16581257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under55c263.69$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.831,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Over49c258$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6117752.5%93 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under72c250$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b95…5733backed Over49c234.87$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.2921055.2%116 W · 94 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over57c222.55$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.853,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c217.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.21,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under53c203.12$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.658,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10889053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over47c196.01$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.881,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5afa…df73backed Over63c195$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.151435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-49.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Over63c193$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6115143.7%66 W · 85 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under77c161.11$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12431449.4%155 W · 159 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf36…6ebbbacked Under52c149.31$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over36c130.84$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.265,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Under43c119.62$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.948944.9%40 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba34…c745backed Under64c113.27$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.497055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under52c104.16$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.162,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over21c104$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6170546.8%330 W · 375 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under48c99.52$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.971,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under57c99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4391252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over46c95.67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.663,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Under52c90.51$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.566056.2%371 W · 289 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over49c82.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9370154.2%380 W · 321 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed Over49c82.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.938661.6%53 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over49c82.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9339953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Under48c81.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4125357.3%145 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda54…b8a1backed Over52c77.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2528456.7%161 W · 123 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Under54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.177050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Over48c63.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3320945%94 W · 115 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3e6…ef53backed Over39c62.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.41752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Under48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021751.6%112 W · 105 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed Over54c59.15$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2144651.6%230 W · 216 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Under55c54.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under54c54.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3431258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over52c53.47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.836,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under42c51.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8258054.5%316 W · 264 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.52,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f2…a6fabacked Over45c45.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1710253.9%55 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x000a…6cf7backed Over49c44.13$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5125260.7%153 W · 99 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5519252.6%101 W · 91 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over49c40.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.331,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Under43c39.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.987949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa54d…7695backed Over34c36.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.262450%12 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over38c36.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.482,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Over48c33.91$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6324243%104 W · 138 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52f9…3691backed Under53c32.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9322848.2%110 W · 118 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over37c27.84$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6290446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under63c27.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.351,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f02…823dbacked Over48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135554.5%30 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1370737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Over51c24.47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9983053%440 W · 390 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ce…41acbacked Under60c22.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2210158.4%59 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.655643.9%244 W · 312 L-38.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.