MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeac10947ae5e848c338c5f426f05ea112e5c0dc27ee3280f35f1d3710541d232
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,549.99 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 8,901$4,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,518.74 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 8,729$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.95 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 6,665$3,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,397.92 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 48c | 6,337$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,285.46 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Under | 37c | 3,055$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.35 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 37c | 2,145$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.85 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 53c | 2,062$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.18 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 48c | 2,010$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.17 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 1,316$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.38 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 47c | 1,210$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.5 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 52c | 1,140$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.85 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 54c | 1,087$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.98 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 48c | 1,026$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.66 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 48c | 1,026$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.45 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 907.29$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.79 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 48c | 872.44$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.77 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 53c | 660.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.32 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 44c | 559.33$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.9 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Under | 54c | 548.59$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.24 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 489.07$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.68 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 48c | 487.46$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.98 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 48c | 487.4$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.95 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 417.46$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.9 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Under | 48c | 415.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Under | 43c | 394.91$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.81 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Over | 53c | 380.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 49c | 372.93$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.33 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…13aebacked Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 60c | 367.58$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76f…fd62backed Under | 61c | 335.3$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 53c | 322.34$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.84 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 48c | 295.82$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Over | 46c | 277.78$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…c92dbacked Under | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 61c | 270.49$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 55c | 263.69$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.83 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Over | 49c | 258$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.61 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 72c | 250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…5733backed Over | 49c | 234.87$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.29 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 57c | 222.55$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 217.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 53c | 203.12$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.65 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 47c | 196.01$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5afa…df73backed Over | 63c | 195$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Over | 63c | 193$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 77c | 161.11$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 314 | 49.4%155 W · 159 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf36…6ebbbacked Under | 52c | 149.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 36c | 130.84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.26 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Under | 43c | 119.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…c745backed Under | 64c | 113.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 52c | 104.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 21c | 104$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.61 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 48c | 99.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 57c | 99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 95.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Under | 52c | 90.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 49c | 82.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Over | 49c | 82.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 49c | 82.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Under | 48c | 81.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 253 | 57.3%145 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Over | 52c | 77.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 48c | 63.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…ef53backed Over | 39c | 62.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Over | 54c | 59.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Under | 55c | 54.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 54c | 54.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 52c | 53.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 42c | 51.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…a6fabacked Over | 45c | 45.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…6cf7backed Over | 49c | 44.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 252 | 60.7%153 W · 99 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 49c | 40.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 43c | 39.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…7695backed Over | 34c | 36.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 38c | 36.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Over | 48c | 33.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 242 | 43%104 W · 138 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…3691backed Under | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 37c | 27.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 63c | 27.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f02…823dbacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 51c | 24.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked Under | 60c | 22.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego PadresCincinnati Reds won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.