TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf3e6…ef53

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT4027.5%11 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Color vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winnerbacked Color · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$10.75
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$84.81
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.57
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Color (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Color · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+93%+$112.17
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.1
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.57
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Cbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+300%+$82.86
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.53
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.47
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$13.71
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.3
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.06
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+267%+$484.29
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.8
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.4
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.98
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.39
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.02
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.7
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.98
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$564.88
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.46
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.03
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$38.4
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.98
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$23.61
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.66
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$330.97
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.99
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.37
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$506.54
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$357.96
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 13.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$20.33
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.24
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+68%+$8.56
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$41.09
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+133%+$67.84
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-51.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jessica Pegula vs. Iga Swiatek: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Set 2 Winner: Fritz vs Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.75
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$351.27
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaurbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.81
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.06
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.27
Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Bernard Tomicbacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$196.19
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.52
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Skybacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.66
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$148.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$46.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.