TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Color (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Colorof SPARTA, Color
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,032
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,032 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xff34…694bbacked SPARTA48c4,643$2,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,211.281,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked Color55c4,217$2,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.1635847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Color49c4,058$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.5617249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked SPARTA46c3,859$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.229235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcd…0a69backed SPARTA50c2,800$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4009349.5%46 W · 47 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed SPARTA62c2,367$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.9719057.9%110 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Color50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00043951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Color55c1,887$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.371,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdff6…1963backed Color53c1,549$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.424560%27 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa28e…1654backed SPARTA34c1,059$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.92030%6 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed SPARTA38c999.98$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9927438.3%105 W · 169 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7618…24c6backed SPARTA47c999.92$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.271050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed Color70c891$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.2419447.4%92 W · 102 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b03…d1f2backed SPARTA51c884.18$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked SPARTA31c781.27$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.842556%14 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked SPARTA30c759.66$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.741,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Color59c733.85$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.2638454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Color49c685.92$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3848851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Color64c625.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.727,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked Color53c599.58$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.85560%33 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked SPARTA48c589.58$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2837644.7%34 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked Color49c583.21$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.2836440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed SPARTA49c565.18$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.761,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1602…fbb0backed Color55c550.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.184946.9%23 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1651…470fbacked Color77c540.34$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4510259.8%61 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5944…764ebacked SPARTA56c536.52$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007550.7%38 W · 37 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bbb…4a56backed SPARTA55c419.93$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.012450%12 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadeb…5850backed Color58c373.24$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.044161%25 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Color70c367.52$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.652,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Color59c352$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.045,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5008…9466backed SPARTA40c309.28$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.388937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Color55c303.97$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.625,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d78…b8b9backed Color50c298$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14916550.3%83 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Color50c294$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.11,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Color58c250.19$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0540666.3%269 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3e6…ef53backed Color52c232.84$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.174226.2%11 W · 31 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-35.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6e9…caedbacked SPARTA51c229.1$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.841662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked SPARTA46c211.43$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.941,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed SPARTA43c200$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.561948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceae…8e45backed Color52c192.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.62334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Color65c189.09$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0255043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked SPARTA39c184.82$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.937922.2%84 W · 295 L-43.1wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-47.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x56ac…f2eabacked SPARTA47c168.69$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806858.8%40 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Color52c163.78$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.264,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked SPARTA46c161.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.658148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Color50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7571951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcce…c920backed Color68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0617361.3%106 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Color45c145.12$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.828061.3%49 W · 31 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked SPARTA43c137.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8620447.1%96 W · 108 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed SPARTA49c136.04$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.156747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b28…bf9fbacked SPARTA36c133.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Color53c130$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5222954.6%125 W · 104 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x493e…d38bbacked Color77c129.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.882070%14 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe821…3128backed Color78c128.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.072763%17 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf920…1a85backed Color80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a3…5cabbacked SPARTA33c124.19$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.982458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f20…934fbacked SPARTA60c119.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8432463%204 W · 120 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Color50c118.27$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1279951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb8…a470backed Color59c118.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.253935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d1…afbfbacked Color77c112.65$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.91757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked SPARTA32c111.7$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.748946.1%41 W · 48 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc28f…6193backed Color55c110.59$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.810956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked SPARTA23c99.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7972353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Color61c98.42$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4219147.1%90 W · 101 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed SPARTA39c91.82$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8570042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked SPARTA50c90.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4554543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed SPARTA50c87.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.926344.1%116 W · 147 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked SPARTA31c80.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3139338.2%150 W · 243 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed SPARTA57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.613840.6%56 W · 82 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed SPARTA39c77.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.92,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8948…76e5backed Color77c76.87$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6840457.2%231 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed SPARTA44c76.23$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8819953.8%107 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed SPARTA36c75.89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.212,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x083f…5c9cbacked SPARTA54c74.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa2…6df9backed SPARTA62c70$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.416245.7%74 W · 88 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d48…f398backed SPARTA61c69.55$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1431…94d0backed SPARTA37c65.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.346651.5%34 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed SPARTA60c65.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1335141.6%146 W · 205 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked SPARTA49c63.08$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.221,06855%587 W · 481 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked SPARTA37c62.18$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.044,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked SPARTA25c59.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2119…3378backed SPARTA54c59.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked Color62c55.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.124348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…d550backed SPARTA48c51.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258149.4%40 W · 41 L-9.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Color38c48.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.255536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked SPARTA44c48.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.324,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a1e…c277backed SPARTA61c47.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94e8…f707backed SPARTA65c41.28$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279053.3%48 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x924c…80e4backed Color69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed SPARTA55c37.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4238131%118 W · 263 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed Color43c34.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.949354.8%51 W · 42 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc273…3102backed SPARTA44c33.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Color63c33.03$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.369445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed Color64c32.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.619468.6%133 W · 61 L+25.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Color64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.815469.5%107 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Color67c29.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.633959%23 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Color56c29.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.757354.8%40 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb092…48d5backed SPARTA39c27.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112055%11 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Color55c27.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.228836.4%32 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed SPARTA37c27.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023526.4%62 W · 173 L-15.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.