TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5944…764e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
250
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT7450%37 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group Dbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.09
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs ex-RUBY (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$113.33
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Spirit Academy (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs INOX Division (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$187.51
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 4 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$106.94
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$147.66
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$634.96
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.84
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$262
Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$6,992Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,991.74
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,453Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,452.81
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$793
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Color (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$467.63
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Color (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$458.39
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,451Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,450.53
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,415Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$1,087.49
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,825Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,970.01
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$187.53
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+106.5%+$425.95
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Mai Tai (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$116.64
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Play-Inbacked ENJOY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.69
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT4548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roehampton 2: Fabrizio Andaloro vs Emile Huddbacked Emile Hudd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$24.81
Philadelphia: Talia Gibson vs Lizette Cabrerabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Aklibacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$80.93
US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garinbacked Spencer Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs En-Shuo Liangbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$83.28
Winston-Salem Open: Martin Landaluce vs Mattia Belluccibacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.83
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
ITF M25 Lesa Men: Pierluigi Basile vs Alexander Weisbacked Pierluigi Basile · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$60.66
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.23
Monterrey Open, Qualification: En-Shuo Liang vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.61
Set 2 Winner: Musetti vs Tiafoebacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.02
Set 1 Winner: Musetti vs Tiafoebacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Quebec City: Zizou Bergs vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$252
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$516.57
Quebec City: Rei Sakamoto vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$712Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$705.31
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanovbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Prague 2: Juan Bautista Torres vs Chun-Hsin Tsengbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.81
Kingston: Lucas Da Silva vs Tyler Zinkbacked Tyler Zink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$438.9
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$859Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$858.63
Set 2 Winner: Nakashima vs Medvedevbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+110.6%+$188.07
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstatbacked Petr Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.36
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Max Dahlinbacked Max Dahlin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Terence Atmanebacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$257.58
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$316.98
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT4163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Ushiras vs Arashi GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Brazil Final Stage Playoffsbacked Arashi GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.41
Valorant: Evil Geniuses GC vs 7VEN STARS (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Brazil Final Stage Playoffsbacked Evil Geniuses GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$60.09
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.87
Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.45
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.18
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$101.02
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$37.65
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$650
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+210.7%+$277.47
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$452.73
Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$274.42
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$229.7
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winnerbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$299
Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$680.71
Valorant: Cloud9 vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.92
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$41.49
Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs G2 Gozen (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsbacked G2 Gozen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+115.9%+$587.27
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsbacked SK Nebula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.9
Valorant: Cloud9 GC vs SEN Otters (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Group Stagebacked Cloud9 GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$397.97
Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Habos Babos (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsbacked G2 Gozen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$364.77
Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs GIANTX GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsbacked FOKUS Sakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$200.34
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,594Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,594.41
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsbacked SK Nebula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$611.76
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$834Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$834.25
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.5
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.58
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$206.87
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$127.71
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.21
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$299.28
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$620.75
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$702.38
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$283.41
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$220.83
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.86
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$1,169.18
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$386.71
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$794.82
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.29
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,420.32
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,284Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$465.97
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$261.47
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$336.63
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+133.5%+$165.56
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.3
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$178.18
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$134.25
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$132.99
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$164.14
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$299
LoL: Solary vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$900.8
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$287.14
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,236.4
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,193Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$723.23
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$255.48
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stagebacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+45%+$183.58
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.99
LoL: University of Mississippi vs Dorado Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dorado Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$411.72
LoL: The Otter Side vs NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stagebacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$459.62
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$935Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$935
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$409
Bulls vs. Thunderbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
Rockets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.05
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$598
All 5 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+112.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$142.96
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+183.8%+$1,066.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.23
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$186.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$396.16
Blackhawks vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$51.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Team to Advancebacked FK Dynamo Kyiv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$990.72
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$1,264.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.08
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$191.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$39.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,841Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,841
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricketlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.