TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof Natus Vincere, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,111,542
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,224,275

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,111,542 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 599 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Legacy53c158,311$84,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,946.6825255.6%140 W · 112 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed Legacy30c150,000$45,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,999.7320153.7%108 W · 93 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Natus Vincere47c117,182$55,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,259.7322843.9%100 W · 128 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Natus Vincere60c101,983$60,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,738.0513548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Natus Vincere41c77,011$31,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,566.7110747.7%51 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Natus Vincere70c59,235$41,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,464.8119055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Natus Vincere71c54,592$38,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,760.3438358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e74…5972backed Legacy29c50,000$14,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,499.74238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Legacy29c39,743$11,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,217.8714145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Legacy56c37,895$21,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,668.487041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd63…050fbacked Natus Vincere47c29,549$13,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,975.773050%15 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Legacy30c28,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,60016344.2%72 W · 91 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4097…9397backed Natus Vincere44c24,022$10,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,687.73551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3708…b397backed Natus Vincere70c23,870$16,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,709450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Legacy30c22,908$6,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,035.5264852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Natus Vincere60c15,959$9,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,569.1936152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed Natus Vincere42c15,646$6,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,514.9218624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere70c14,614$10,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,230.085,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Legacy62c13,928$8,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,275.411,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed Natus Vincere44c13,333$5,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,866.514650%23 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a0…4469backed Natus Vincere71c12,077$8,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,574.6714759.2%87 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Natus Vincere46c11,854$5,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,497.7242142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Natus Vincere4c11,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4302941.4%12 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick25cpaid+84.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x806a…b7dabacked Natus Vincere70c10,912$7,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,638.592161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Legacy59c10,725$6,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,372.3788746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Legacy53c10,465$5,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,877.331,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere71c10,000$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,10050054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89a6…429abacked Natus Vincere71c9,025$6,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,395.491861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Natus Vincere45c9,000$4,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,057.4811844.9%53 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Legacy80c8,944$7,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.210056%56 W · 44 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed Natus Vincere47c8,800$4,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,136825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Legacy54c8,353$4,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,868.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Legacy30c8,333$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,833.3319455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Legacy29c8,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,679.8284658.4%494 W · 352 L+60.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Legacy52c7,500$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60066551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed Natus Vincere40c7,451$2,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,976.0869732%223 W · 474 L-46.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Natus Vincere46c7,157$3,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,292.0312653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Natus Vincere70c7,143$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Natus Vincere49c6,671$3,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,243.6348548.7%236 W · 249 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…764ebacked Natus Vincere71c6,248$4,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,450.537450%37 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Legacy55c6,129$3,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,736.021,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Legacy29c6,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,26028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc77…c035backed Legacy53c5,553$2,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,609.95933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Natus Vincere70c5,510$3,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,856.7536453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed Legacy54c5,100$2,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3466144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Legacy30c5,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50037946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0385…acafbacked Natus Vincere55c5,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7601346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Natus Vincere70c5,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50014934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Legacy52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9826952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Natus Vincere71c5,000$3,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,559.9629449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Legacy78c4,882$3,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.8287047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Legacy58c4,700$2,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9971,76859.2%1,047 W · 721 L+105.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Legacy53c4,302$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.9812055%66 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Legacy30c4,145$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,901.5519229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Natus Vincere70c4,092$2,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,864.116243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe46d…7e4dbacked Legacy30c4,089$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,875.651952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Legacy64c4,023$2,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.1316142.9%69 W · 92 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Natus Vincere49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9603023.3%7 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6cb6…d647backed Natus Vincere71c3,848$2,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,731.784266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Legacy29c3,534$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,509.0818350.8%93 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f0e…0200backed Natus Vincere71c3,130$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2221758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Legacy71c3,083$2,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.491,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…ba88backed Natus Vincere26c3,000$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7901127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed Natus Vincere57c2,954$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.0224339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Natus Vincere70c2,908$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030.122,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x415a…cea5backed Natus Vincere71c2,887$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0501464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc466…3f77backed Natus Vincere48c2,883$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3841637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfed…9980backed Natus Vincere71c2,817$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x052c…6762backed Natus Vincere71c2,798$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.93922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-66.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Legacy53c2,777$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.1932552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Legacy68c2,663$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.911,01753.4%543 W · 474 L+65.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere43c2,603$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.842,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Natus Vincere30c2,600$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9930340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked Legacy36c2,540$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.811346.9%53 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Natus Vincere62c2,427$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50023658.5%138 W · 98 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Natus Vincere46c2,400$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10437440.4%151 W · 223 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed Legacy60c2,359$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.7218557.8%107 W · 78 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Natus Vincere61c2,340$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.6248251.7%249 W · 233 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Natus Vincere70c2,328$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.62528%7 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-32.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed Natus Vincere70c2,325$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.54944.9%22 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x98d5…2ec4backed Natus Vincere48c2,188$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed Legacy52c2,145$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.726560%39 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Legacy52c2,082$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.5875452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Legacy30c2,037$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.673033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x609d…3fa9backed Natus Vincere74c2,033$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009963.6%63 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Natus Vincere70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40016544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Legacy30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4007850%39 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc303…8129backed Natus Vincere47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere69c2,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.931,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Legacy53c1,905$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.32,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed Natus Vincere48c1,798$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8637943%34 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Legacy54c1,771$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.8875145.4%341 W · 410 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Natus Vincere70c1,641$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.781,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee46…faa0backed Natus Vincere71c1,550$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed Legacy66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.151145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Natus Vincere51c1,474$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.722,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Legacy31c1,465$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.521,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Legacy51c1,376$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.868059.3%403 W · 277 L+64.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Legacy28c1,359$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.171,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed Natus Vincere48c1,342$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.1615244.7%68 W · 84 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.