TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc77…c035

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
353
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: AI, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category AI at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST5431.5%17 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Will FS KKR Capital (FSK) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+250.1%+$126.83
Will TKO Group Holdings (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$37.44
Will Lyft (LYFT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$7.25
Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+26.6%+$17.16
Will Palantir Technologies (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$53.79
Will Piper Sandler Companies (PIPR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.37
Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.18
Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.26
Will Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.38
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.03
Will Anheuser-Busch (BUD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.77
Will Roblox (RBLX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+41.3%+$7.76
Will Roku (ROKU) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.05
Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.57
Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+49.7%+$366.44
Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.47
Will Ameriprise Financial (AMP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+71.9%+$64.78
Will Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.88
Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.25
Will Tradeweb Markets (TW) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.28
Will Shake Shack (SHAK) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.03
Will Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+27.3%+$46.46
Will Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.09
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT4553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$109
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+98.6%+$104.76
Atlas global browser market share 1%+ on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.41
Tech Release Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.09
Will Atlas have an iOS app live by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.26
Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41.3%+$11.07
Grok 5 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.29
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+141%+$72.79
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13.16
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Not Like Us by Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched song on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$23.94
Will A Minecraft Movie be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+65.7%+$79.31
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+35.1%+$20
Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+195.6%+$93.56
Will the Gaza–Israel conflict be the #1 searched news on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+40.6%+$24.44
Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$21.45
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+143.9%+$64.31
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+55.4%+$20.29
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+257.1%+$33.8
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+25.7%+$17.36
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+55.2%+$48.49
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$49.85
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT4555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.25
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+42.9%+$292.06
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,293Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+37.8%+$488.97
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$876Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+33.2%+$291.15
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$38.76
Will BBB be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+28.9%+$17.93
Will VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$38.47
Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$35.47
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+116.8%+$62.2
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+40.6%+$21.36
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+80.5%+$100.59
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.34
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$159.52
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,431Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+28.4%+$406.65
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$296.27
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$67.36
Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$231.17
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+53.4%+$8.18
Will turnout be between 75% and 78% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+49.3%+$84.03
Will turnout be between 72% and 75% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+30.9%+$145.32
Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$155.7
Will JA21 win 9–10 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will JA21 win fewer than 9 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+80.2%+$88.99
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.48
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$281.9
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.13
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+31.6%+$24
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+284.6%+$194.62
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$180.99
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 33–36%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 30% and 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$74
Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$214.99
Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$29.37
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+59.6%+$111.99
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+45.7%+$92.21
Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+111.3%+$158
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$154.42
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+64.1%+$143.12
Zohran Mamdani Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+121.1%+$251.05
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$149.33
Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$167.82
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$32.03
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+35.1%+$16.01
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+127.3%+$50.89
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2548%12 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+146.7%+$340.14
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+349%+$129.65
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$125.79
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39.2%+$115.62
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15.57
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$95.53
Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+53.5%+$38.82
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+138.4%+$114.25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+30.5%+$58.02
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$88.44
Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+681.6%+$115.8
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$55.84
Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+49.9%+$40.39
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$27.28
More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$54.71
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14.62
Will Russia enter Novopavlivka by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$59.43
Will Russia capture Uspenivka by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+50.9%+$14.76
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$866Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.7%+$257.12
Will Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.75
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+79.5%+$39.45
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.32
Will Russia enter Kostyantynivka by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$142.23
All 25 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$88.51
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.2
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+65.2%+$101.06
Will Trump visit Israel again by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.21
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.9%+$26.4
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+400%+$80
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+83.5%+$37.91
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$16.17
Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$22.1
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+91.5%+$361.41
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$544.84
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+37.4%+$40.59
Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.81
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.32
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,323Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+50.9%+$673.22
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+57.6%+$337.62
All 20 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$166.79
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30.02
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$163.4
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$116.03
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+110.6%+$13.21
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$236.68
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17.44
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$74.11
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$75.63
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$44.12
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+115.4%+$97.95
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+42.1%+$66.33
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+32.1%+$29.68
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$29.95
Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+28%+$34.26
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$428.71
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,054Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+86.3%+$909.07
Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 19 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,357Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,090.21
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16,979Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$9,019.17
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.89
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,949.97
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,619Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,619.27
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,698Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,698.13
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.51
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$878Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$877.92
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$2,600
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,390Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$2,596.47
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,769Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+159.8%+$6,022.05
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$709.97
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,426Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+196.2%+$8,683.11
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+65.8%+$120.99
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$143.32
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$264.67
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$31.97
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+30.4%+$70
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$90.3
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$51.4
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+238.2%+$140.85
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$7,979Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,978.75
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,539.83
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,600
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,943Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,609.95
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12,580Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+71%+$8,937.41
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$3,200
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.55
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,200
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.62
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+109.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in October 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$115.24
2025 September third hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+81.6%+$44.78
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 63-64°F on October 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+931.4%+$296.18
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on October 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$178.51
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on October 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+175.5%+$127.41
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+88.9%+$95.13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 55-56°F on October 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$171
Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on October 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.61
All 8 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
F1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$153.06
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$182.65
Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+69.4%+$277.36
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$782Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+37.3%+$291.83
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$154
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.59
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+41%+$167.21
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-51.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$130.56
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$44.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$277.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+25%+$18.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.