World Politics · resolved market
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05f07c49dbfdbe3f92458aaeeda5a8dd31a8722ce8d54d0d720b67eba2fe8e0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe893…f2c0backed No | 51c | 18,164$9,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,959.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 58c | 10,288$5,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,365.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa268…d60bbacked Yes | 67c | 9,609$6,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,454.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…c4f6backed No | 49c | 4,730$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25b…38d5backed No | 80c | 4,370$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed No | 48c | 4,293$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 26c | 4,008$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.92 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 53c | 3,043$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.97 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 2,966$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.09 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 57c | 2,889$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.39 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 2c | 2,570$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 45c | 1,610$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad2…54bdbacked No | 80c | 1,509$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 27c | 1,403$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.04 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…a861backed Yes | 73c | 1,376$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 57c | 1,272$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed No | 46c | 1,224$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…b0dcbacked Yes | 58c | 1,198$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 46c | 1,070$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.74 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 57c | 1,030$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…c94fbacked Yes | 10c | 968.34$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 9cpaid | +168.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 13c | 883.84$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Yes | 55c | 867.57$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 6c | 844.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 40c | 806.79$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.07 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 798.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked No | 39c | 759.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.73 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…e351backed Yes | 28c | 753.8$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 31c | 706.05$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 41c | 692.64$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.74 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes | 51c | 656.92$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…3ce5backed Yes | 51c | 650.04$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.12 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked No | 53c | 642.75$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked No | 51c | 637.56$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 56c | 606.78$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.98 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38d…5895backed Yes | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…bc64backed No | 53c | 542.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 23c | 541.84$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.27 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…e226backed No | 54c | 537.31$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 54c | 513.52$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed Yes | 45c | 510.18$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.75 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 29c | 504.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 41c | 500.01$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 6c | 500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b58…eb2bbacked Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 65c | 499.06$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.39 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 47c | 497.17$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.31 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed No | 44c | 489.38$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.3 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc72f…dc56backed No | 45c | 458.36$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 73c | 443.36$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.63 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c87…fce0backed No | 67c | 441.56$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41eb…da1dbacked Yes | 30c | 440.15$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…bdb2backed No | 54c | 440.11$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 39c | 425.93$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.33 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed Yes | 6c | 420$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 58c | 410.92$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.72 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…48babacked Yes | 19c | 395.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 36c | 391.55$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…7d8abacked Yes | 7c | 360$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 33c | 358.87$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 62c | 354.41$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 46c | 349.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.82 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…faabbacked No | 54c | 348.15$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644e…ff58backed Yes | 40c | 342.16$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…7f0fbacked No | 60c | 320.66$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 6c | 319.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 8c | 310.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed Yes | 52c | 309.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.52 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…7ff4backed No | 67c | 302.18$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 50c | 301.33$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.33 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e02…11dbbacked Yes | 33c | 301.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…7657backed No | 63c | 300$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…1b64backed Yes | 50c | 299.64$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7968…d714backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b69dbacked No | 41c | 289.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 22c | 283.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.03 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…bec3backed No | 76c | 274.57$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d8…e6afbacked No | 37c | 267.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 74c | 260.55$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.48 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f1…81e3backed Yes | 13c | 260$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 21c | 256.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…955fbacked No | 38c | 249.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +214.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…506cbacked Yes | 40c | 241.77$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed No | 42c | 240.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…be1fbacked No | 39c | 239.61$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…5da2backed No | 58c | 235.88$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.09 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x876e…e2ffbacked No | 58c | 234.1$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…ea55backed No | 52c | 224.06$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e31…ba58backed No | 74c | 213.84$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…7c64backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…78d0backed No | 66c | 208.29$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…595cbacked Yes | 9c | 204.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c3…fcaebacked No | 64c | 203.5$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +139.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 63c | 200.05$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.03 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -91.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…c62abacked No | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.