TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a54…f7f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
316
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Middle East, grading 66 out of 100 (+0.15 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 66 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT3231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Sporting CP vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Olympiakós SFP vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+177.8%+$44.44
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
SSC Napoli vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
AFC Ajax vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will AFC Ajax vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-3.5)backed Qairat FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$53.21
Club Brugge KV vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Club Brugge KV vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+45.4%+$22.68
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Páfos FC vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST3119.4%6 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+37.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+816.3%+$103.34
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+518.9%+$114.17
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+601.8%+$132.4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+521.1%+$78.17
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST2540%10 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Tottenham vs. Fulham: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$69.23
Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$69.23
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+53.8%+$269.23
Will Manchester United vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+134.8%+$134.84
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Manchester City vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Everton vs. Fulham: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will West Ham vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2277.3%17 W · 5 L+6.9wins+0.31per pick46cpaid+103.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+336.8%+$84.21
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+137.5%+$48.12
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+339.6%+$84.89
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+102%+$101.96
Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+172.2%+$172.18
Will Donald Trump say "Please" 7+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+60.6%+$60.64
Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+57.9%+$57.92
Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+303.4%+$303.41
Will Donald Trump say "Eight wars" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+196.5%+$49.12
Will Donald Trump say "Israel / Gaza" 6+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+190.1%+$190.12
Will Donald Trump say "Abraham Accords" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+233.3%+$58.33
Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine / Russia" 5+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+48.8%+$48.78
Will Donald Trump say "Nuclear" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+180.8%+$180.82
Will Donald Trump say "Erdogan" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+223.6%+$55.9
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+50.7%+$15.21
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,500
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Girona vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Sevilla vs. Real Betis: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Real Sociedad vs. Villarreal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Will Mallorca win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Getafe win on 2025-11-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Sevilla win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Alaves vs. Celta Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$117.86
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$128.57
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)backed Rayo Vallecano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Elche CF vs. Real Sociedad: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+92.9%+$92.9
Will Real Oviedo vs. Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+212.5%+$31.88
Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+150%+$150
All 22 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+88.7%+$177.36
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Orolbai (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Orolbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+56.3%+$168.75
UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Gaziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$550
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Almabayev (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$73.88
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,381Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,381.36
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,700
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,192Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+66.7%+$794.87
UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$500
UFC 322: Cortez vs. Blanchfield (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cortez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Brown vs. Bonfimbacked Brown · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Salikhov vs. Medicbacked Salikhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Bonfim vs. Padillabacked Padilla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+114.4%+$257.46
Duncan vs. Tuliobacked Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+163.2%+$57.11
Barcelos vs. Simonbacked Barcelos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+156.4%+$39.1
Rowe vs. Kobacked Rowe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Delija vs. Cortes-Acostabacked Delija · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Wells vs. Gorimbobacked Wells · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+119.4%+$501.47
Dulgarian vs. del Vallebacked del Valle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+203%+$304.55
Elekana vs. Christianbacked Christian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Dumas vs. Johnsonbacked Dumas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$75.88
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$360
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$200
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+47.4%+$71.12
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+65.8%+$171.15
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+177.8%+$177.78
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+150%+$75
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+100.5%+$201
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Andrew Cuomo say "Thank you" 5+ times during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 19 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Atalanta BC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Torino FC win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
US Cremonese vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+118.2%+$59.09
Will Pisa SC vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Genoa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Parma vs. Bologna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Bologna win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Will Torino vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+230%+$183.98
Will Torino win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$117.86
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+187.6%+$84.43
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 65% and 70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+52.8%+$158.52
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$3,500
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,016Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+45.9%+$2,762.68
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+140.2%+$140.17
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Jeannette Jara win at least 32% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+82.9%+$198.98
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Will FC Lorient win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+143.9%+$21.59
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
AJ Auxerre vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Paris FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+71.8%+$114.87
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+150%+$150
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Go Ahead Eagles vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25
AS Roma vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 30–33%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 33–36%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 13% and 16% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+359.3%+$53.9
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+525%+$105
Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+127.3%+$44.55
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Democratic sweep?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Jenna Ortega be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+221.4%+$66.43
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+733.3%+$183.33
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+63.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+531.3%+$791.69
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Lilo and Stitch be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$480.16
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+80.1%+$160.26
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+163.2%+$203.95
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+81.1%+$38.24
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Open de Moselle: Matteo Berrettini vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+108.3%+$59.58
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hellenic Championship: Yannick Hanfmann vs Vit Koprivabacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Open de Moselle: Francesco Passaro vs Alexander Blockxbacked Passaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Open de Moselle: Daniel Altmaier vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+150%+$22.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+122.2%+$18.33
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+155%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Detroit record the first snowfall?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+155%+$92.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+138.1%+$138.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+66.7%+$147.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$160
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.