Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe03ac089895c1abee88cf7bd6d892b216da074a9a6a5840711e00810cd4932e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Yes | 70c | 59,610$41,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,666.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 28,534$8,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,595.69 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 26c | 19,857$5,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,082.52 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Yes | 73c | 4,936$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.29 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 29c | 4,681$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.24 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 75c | 4,465$3,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,348.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 34c | 4,231$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.11 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 3,872$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.82 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 75c | 2,300$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…f19abacked Yes | 26c | 1,979$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +89%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 74c | 1,970$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.8 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 75c | 1,908$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.16 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 65c | 1,300$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 23c | 978.67$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.83 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 958.72$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.43 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 46c | 899.77$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.26 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 79c | 772$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.86 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 26c | 620.88$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.4 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ba…16d1backed Yes | 26c | 531$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked No | 75c | 406.41$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 33c | 364$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.88 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.69 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 43c | 255$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 33c | 234.81$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.21 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 25c | 230.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 74c | 218.5$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.69 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 25c | 207.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +209.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 44c | 173.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…4e46backed No | 23c | 164.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…9d05backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 22cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 67cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…bd63backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 62c | 102.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 48c | 100.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5f…25fcbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed No | 28c | 98.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 25c | 95.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…a5a8backed Yes | 25c | 80.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5060…79c4backed Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…2b0abacked No | 71c | 77.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…63babacked Yes | 25c | 72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…df55backed No | 75c | 68.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…9f48backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 75c | 56.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 29c | 52.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 24c | 52.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 65c | 50.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed Yes | 39c | 50.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 33c | 46.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed No | 30c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked No | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7478…6562backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Yes | 32c | 38.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yes | 60c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 76c | 36.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Yes | 69c | 35.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd783…9101backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19aa…50abbacked No | 53c | 22.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 75cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe822…ae43backed No | 77c | 19.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…0e62backed No | 75c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-11-28?No won
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.