TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x455f…bd63

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST3040%12 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$145
Spurs vs. Cavaliersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+86.2%+$163.77
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+284.6%+$284.62
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$394
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+63.5%+$33.77
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50.77
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+103.8%+$124.52
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$154.21
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$87.41
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+164.7%+$281.87
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$166.48
Grizzlies vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+37%+$13.68
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$184
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$212.2
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+132.6%+$79.53
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+132.6%+$132.56
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)backed West Ham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+75.4%+$44.51
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$147.76
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$100
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$125.83
Tottenham vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$66.28
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+127.3%+$190.91
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+170.3%+$170.27
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$138.46
Will Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Inter win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. South Florida Bullsbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+38.9%+$54.44
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+31.6%+$47.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$69.02
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Navy vs. Memphisbacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+100%+$150
Iowa vs. USCbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$144.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$73
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$217.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$40.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Getafe vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+46.8%+$93.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$160
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$366
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.